Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Ken Calvert

Ken Calvert

Overview

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Ken Calvert supports lowering taxes and has consistently voted for Republican tax-cut legislation, arguing that tax relief and permanent business expensing spur economic growth and put more money in taxpayers’ paychecks. He voted for the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and has publicly supported subsequent House GOP bills to extend or expand tax cuts and child tax credits.

Healthcare

Opposes a single‑payer/Medicare for All approach and supports market competition in health care. Voted for a 2025 House budget reconciliation bill that would reduce federal spending including Medicaid and characterized work requirements and program changes as sensible ways to address waste and fraud.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger immigration enforcement and cooperation with ICE, including detaining and removing criminal noncitizens and withholding federal funds from jurisdictions that limit cooperation with federal immigration authorities. Emphasizes border security and criticizes perceived ‘‘open-border’’ policies while framing legal immigration as welcome for those who follow the law.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate has supported overturning Roe v. Wade, has cosponsored federal personhood legislation (the Life at Conception Act), and has voted against bills to codify or protect abortion and contraception access; he has said abortion policy should be left to the states and has indicated support for exceptions for rape, incest, and health.

Climate & Energy

The candidate supports increasing domestic fossil fuel production, reducing regulatory barriers to energy development, and prioritizing energy independence and lower energy costs while criticizing aggressive climate regulations. He has voted for bills to expand American energy production and described administration climate policies as harmful to energy production and consumers.

Public Safety & Guns

Ken Calvert has a pro-Second Amendment voting record and has voted against expanded federal gun restrictions such as an assault weapons ban and universal background-check legislation. He has high ratings from pro-gun organizations. His public record emphasizes support for gun rights while opposing major new federal firearm regulations.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 18, 2026

Ken Calvert is in the news because he is leading in California’s redrawn 40th Congressional District race and has advanced to the November general election under the state’s top-two system. Recent primary returns showed him ahead of Young Kim, and later reports said he held a 14.3-point lead in the June 2 primary. The race has turned increasingly negative, with both Republicans attacking each other over Trump loyalty and House leadership. Fundraising reports also show Kim outraised Calvert in the latest quarter.

calvert.house.gov+50

Polls

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44%
44%
Ken Calvert
K. Calvert
Esther Kim Varet
E. Varet
Date (Start - End)SpreadCalvertVaret
Polling Average
Calvert+0.0
44.0%44.0%
Tulchin ResearchJan 14 - 19
Calvert+0.0
44.0%44.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

CA-40 primary: first place

Endorsers of Ken Calvert for CA-40 primary: first place

Steve Hilton

Public figure

Steve Hilton endorsed Ken Calvert in the 2026 CA-40 House race.

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Riverside County Republican Party

Public figure

The Riverside County Republican Party endorsed Ken Calvert.

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Pat Bates

Public figure

Pat Bates endorsed Ken Calvert.

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California Republican Assembly

Public figure

The California Republican Assembly endorsed Ken Calvert.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$8.1M
$6.0M
$4.0M
$2.0M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$3.7M
$69.8K
$4.1M
$169.5K

Cycle 2024

$8.1M
$262.1K
$7.9M
$327.7K

Cycle 2026

$6.1M
$1.5M
$4.9M
$272.6K

Source: FEC