Tulchin Research
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44%
44%
Republican
Incumbent
IncumbentKen Calvert
Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in California
CA-40 primary: first place
$32.7K
JUN 6, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Ken Calvert is trading at 99% to win the CA-40 primary: first place on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age73 years old (Jun 8, 1953)
GenderMale
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LocationCalifornia
BackgroundU.S. Representative
EducationCorona High School (1971)
Notable personal detailsKenneth Stanton Calvert is a Republican member of the U.S. House of Representatives, first elected in 1992 and serving since January 3, 1993. He previously worked as a restaurant manager and as a small business owner in the restaurant and real estate industries. He earned an A.A. from Chaffey College (1973) and a B.A. from San Diego State University (1975).
SourcesShowHide
history.house.govdocquery.fec.govfec.govclerk.house.goven.wikipedia.orgcalvert.house.govthecandidate.comocvote.govpostman.comcapitolhillaccess.comgovinfo.govjoincalifornia.comfacebook.comtheballotbook.comcongress.govfilpac.comfec-dev-api.app.cloud.govreddit.comde.wikipedia.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgsfgate.comidyllwildtowncrier.comlegistorm.comlatimes.comdccc.orgemilyslist.orgcoachellavalleytimes.comlcv.orgrollcall.comontheissues.orgfoxnews.comnrcc.orgpressenterprise.comballotpedia.orgriversidecountygop.comabc7.comcalmatters.orgocregister.comnytimes.comnews.ballotpedia.orgwashingtonexaminer.comcbsnews.comnbcnews.comyoungkimforcongress.comlocalcandidates.orgcalvertforcongress.comappropriations.house.govdemocrats-appropriations.house.govdirectory.house.govhouse.govwikidata.orgit.wikipedia.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Ken Calvert supports lowering taxes and has consistently voted for Republican tax-cut legislation, arguing that tax relief and permanent business expensing spur economic growth and put more money in taxpayers’ paychecks. He voted for the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and has publicly supported subsequent House GOP bills to extend or expand tax cuts and child tax credits.
Healthcare
Opposes a single‑payer/Medicare for All approach and supports market competition in health care. Voted for a 2025 House budget reconciliation bill that would reduce federal spending including Medicaid and characterized work requirements and program changes as sensible ways to address waste and fraud.
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Immigration & Border
Supports stronger immigration enforcement and cooperation with ICE, including detaining and removing criminal noncitizens and withholding federal funds from jurisdictions that limit cooperation with federal immigration authorities. Emphasizes border security and criticizes perceived ‘‘open-border’’ policies while framing legal immigration as welcome for those who follow the law.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate has supported overturning Roe v. Wade, has cosponsored federal personhood legislation (the Life at Conception Act), and has voted against bills to codify or protect abortion and contraception access; he has said abortion policy should be left to the states and has indicated support for exceptions for rape, incest, and health.
Climate & Energy
The candidate supports increasing domestic fossil fuel production, reducing regulatory barriers to energy development, and prioritizing energy independence and lower energy costs while criticizing aggressive climate regulations. He has voted for bills to expand American energy production and described administration climate policies as harmful to energy production and consumers.
Public Safety & Guns
Ken Calvert has a pro-Second Amendment voting record and has voted against expanded federal gun restrictions such as an assault weapons ban and universal background-check legislation. He has high ratings from pro-gun organizations. His public record emphasizes support for gun rights while opposing major new federal firearm regulations.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 18, 2026
Ken Calvert is in the news because he is leading in California’s redrawn 40th Congressional District race and has advanced to the November general election under the state’s top-two system. Recent primary returns showed him ahead of Young Kim, and later reports said he held a 14.3-point lead in the June 2 primary. The race has turned increasingly negative, with both Republicans attacking each other over Trump loyalty and House leadership. Fundraising reports also show Kim outraised Calvert in the latest quarter.
history.house.gov+51
Articles
SASanta Ana Orange County Register2 months ago
Report: Young Kim raising more money than Ken Calvert in race for California’s 40th Congressional District
Positive
BNBreitbart News Network3 months ago
CA's 40th Congressional District to Feature Republican Versus Republican
Positive
HHuffPost3 months ago
Ken Calvert, Young Kim Appear Headed To Ugly GOP Runoff For California House Seat
Positive
SASanta Ana Orange County Register3 months ago
2026 Election Results: Republicans Ken Calvert, Young Kim face 6 others in California’s 40th congressional district
Positive
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$8.1M
$6.0M
$4.0M
$2.0M
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$3.7M
$69.8K
$4.1M
$169.5K
Cycle 2024
$8.1M
$262.1K
$7.9M
$327.7K
Cycle 2026
$6.1M
$1.5M
$4.9M
$272.6K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements