$977.84
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 44.0% | $6.14M | |
| 33% | 44.0% | $8.84M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Ken Calvert’s primary showing remains the clearest recent election signal in CA-40, as he led Young Kim 34.9% to 20.6%. Kim is also dealing with scrutiny over donations tied to James Su. Other coverage is mostly issue-focused and does not add new race-defining information. Calvert’s primary lead may support his standing in the market, while Kim’s donation controversy could add some downside for her. Overall, the latest news looks modestly favorable to Calvert but does not change the race dramatically.
The Western Gateway Pipeline is a proposal that would end California's energy isolation and bring lower fuel prices to drivers across the Golden State.
Rep. Young Kim is returning $5,200 in campaign donations from James Su, whose home and office were searched by the FBI amid a reported foreign-influence investigation.
In an era of even more bitter divisions in the state and nation, political and governmental reforms face severe threats.
But the cash race is close, and both Republicans expect to spend a lot — and run a lot of ads — as the Nov. 3 general election draws near.
Nearly 23% of voters in the state are registered as no party preference, but they're not necessarily moderate, experts say.
California's secretary of state says the effort can begin gathering signatures to qualify for the 2028 ballot.
We asked some House members from Southern California for their fall 2027 legislative priorities.
Despite a municipal ordinance halting a massive MacArthur Boulevard installation, a dedicated group gathered Monday to protest the forcible deportation of Ukrainian children.
A bevy of federal transportation funding is set to expire this fall, which OC business advocates say could disrupt the regional economy if not reauthorized.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jan 14, 2026 and Jan 19, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
Y. KimYoung KimK. CalvertKen CalvertSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
