Prediction Edge

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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

TX-09 House winner?

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  • Leticia Gutierrez

    Will Democratic win the House race for TX-09?

    Selected market

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Democrat
Leticia Gutierrez

Leticia Gutierrez

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Saved odds — TX-09 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

26%chance to win

$109.1KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The campaign emphasizes everyday affordability, criticizes government subsidies to large corporations, and highlights the candidate’s background in finance and economics. The campaign site does not state specific tax-rate proposals or clear positions on raising or cutting taxes. Public interviews are listed by the campaign but do not provide a clear, detailed tax policy on the campaign website.

Healthcare

The candidate highlights advocacy for children’s health and public health education in immigrant communities and has professional experience in health-related community outreach. She does not provide clear, detailed policy positions on health insurance, Medicare/Medicaid, or a public option on her campaign site or in the available interview material.

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Immigration & Border

Leticia Gutierrez emphasizes supporting immigrant communities’ safety and dignity and has worked on immigration-related and social-justice issues. Public materials and interviews describe advocacy for immigrant communities but do not lay out a detailed, specific immigration or border enforcement policy agenda.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Leticia Gutierrez has a history of working for reproductive-rights organizations and advocates for reproductive health access. Her campaign materials and biographies highlight roles at Planned Parenthood affiliates and other reproductive-rights work, indicating support for abortion access and reproductive healthcare.

Climate & Energy

The candidate emphasizes infrastructure resilience for power and water and frames energy reliability as a priority while serving as an environmental justice advocate. She has professional ties to Air Alliance Houston and participates in regional environmental summits focused on health, equity, resilience, and energy-efficiency solutions. Her campaign prioritizes keeping the lights on and repairing infrastructure affected by extreme weather events.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Leticia Gutierrez is in the news as part of the 2026 Texas primary season, which is now underway. She is also among the Democratic-held or open districts targeted by NRCC Tax Day ads, though the summaries do not give details about her specific race. Overall, the coverage suggests she is being pulled into the broader fight over House control ahead of the midterms.

fec.gov+50

Latest Polls

TX-09 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Leticia Gutierrez currently averages 42.7%, ranking second in this race, 4.3 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 42.7%Position: secondMargin: -4.3 ptsLatest poll: 47.0% (Oct 20 - 22)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through Oct 20 - 22.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
42.7%
47%
Leticia Gutierrez
L. Gutierrez
Alexandra del Moral Mealer
A. Mealer
Date (Start - End)SpreadGutierrezMealer
Polling Average
Mealer+4.3
42.7%47.0%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics DepartmentOct 20 - 22
Mealer+1.0
47.0%48.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public AffairsOct 3 - 7
Mealer+6.0
42.0%48.0%
Public Policy PollingSep 18 - 19
Mealer+6.0
39.0%45.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$40.0K
$30.0K
$20.0K
$10.0K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$40.0K
$6.0K
$34.1K
$2.3K

Source: FEC

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  • Endorsements