Prediction Edge
Democrat
Lindsay James

Lindsay James

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Iowa

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Lindsay James is trading at 45% to win the IA-02 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePolitician

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationIowa

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BackgroundPolitician

EducationSanta Clara University — B.A. in Communications

Notable personal detailsLindsay James is an American politician and Presbyterian Church (PCUSA) pastor who serves in the Iowa House of Representatives, representing Dubuque-area House District 71. She earned a B.A. in communications from Santa Clara University and a master’s degree in divinity from Fuller Theological Seminary. In 2026, she ran for U.S. House in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District and won the Democratic nomination.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Lindsay James supports policies that provide tax relief and credits targeted to working families and small/local businesses and opposes large, regressive tax cuts that primarily benefit the wealthy. Her campaign prioritizes lowering costs for working Iowans and expanding supports such as child and dependent tax credits and local tax-credit tools for community development. She publicly criticized a proposed Iowa flat-tax plan as disproportionately benefiting the ultra-rich.

Healthcare

Supports affordable, expanded access to healthcare and reproductive health services; has advocated removing prescription requirements for contraceptives and lists affordable healthcare as a campaign priority.

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Immigration & Border

Supports handling immigration at the federal level and opposes state laws that expand local enforcement of federal immigration policy; expresses concern that broadly written state smuggling/enforcement bills could criminalize religious or community members who provide shelter or aid. Advocates for meaningful immigration reform while resisting state-level criminalization or expanded local enforcement powers.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports reproductive rights and a person’s right to choose, advocating protection of abortion access. Endorsed by pro-choice organization EMILY’s List and has spoken about harms from Iowa’s near-total abortion ban.

Climate & Energy

The candidate emphasizes protecting clean water and a healthy environment and standing with Iowa farmers but does not present detailed federal climate or energy policy proposals on her campaign site or public biography. Public materials available emphasize environmental protection in broad terms rather than specific climate targets, clean-energy investment, or fossil-fuel phase-out plans.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded gun-safety measures including universal background checks, extreme risk protection orders (red flag laws), and raising the minimum age to purchase certain assault-style weapons to 21; opposed legislation that would lower Iowa’s handgun purchase age to 18 and voted against that bill.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 31, 2026

Lindsay James is the Democratic nominee in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District, where she is running in a competitive race against Republican Joe Mitchell and independent Dave Bushaw. Recent coverage has focused on the contest’s fundraising and on criticism of a 2020 campaign website section in which she apologized for being white and discussed privilege. The race is drawing added attention as ballot and election-law disputes in Iowa could affect the broader environment around the 2026 election.

legis.iowa.gov+48

Latest Polls

IA-02 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Lindsay James currently averages 41.0%, ranking first in this race, 2.0 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 41.0%Position: firstMargin: +2.0 ptsLatest poll: 46.0% (Jul 14 - 19)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 14 - 19.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
41%
39%
Lindsay James
L. James
Joe Mitchell
J. Mitchell
Date (Start - End)SpreadJamesMitchell
Polling Average
James+2.0
41.0%39.0%
Global Strategy GroupJul 14 - 19
James+1.0
46.0%45.0%
Public Policy PollingApr 13 - 14
James+3.0
36.0%33.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.6M
$1.2M
$814.1K
$407.1K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.6M
$755.8K
$872.4K
$48.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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