Prediction Edge
Republican
Lisa Demuth

Lisa Demuth

Republican candidate for Governor in Minnesota

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Lisa Demuth is trading at 7% to win the Minnesota Governor winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleOther

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age59 years old (Feb 10, 1967)

GenderFemale

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LocationMinnesota

BackgroundBusiness owner

Notable personal detailsLisa Demuth is an American politician and business owner who represents District 13A in the Minnesota House of Representatives, first elected in 2018. She served as House Minority Leader from 2023 to 2025 and became Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives in February 2025. She is running for governor of Minnesota.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting taxes for families and businesses, including reducing the lowest two income-tax brackets and eliminating state tax on Social Security; favors returning budget surpluses to taxpayers and rolling back recent fee and tax increases. Advocates reducing state spending growth and opposing new tax hikes as a path to economic relief and business competitiveness. Emphasizes permitting and regulatory reforms to attract investment and lower business costs.

Healthcare

Supports reducing government involvement in healthcare and lowering costs through limiting taxes and program expansions; has opposed legislative measures she said would raise health care costs and has supported removing state-provided coverage for certain undocumented adults. Emphasizes cutting spending, program integrity, and relief for rural hospitals rather than expanding public coverage.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stricter enforcement and limits on benefits for people in the country illegally and praises stronger border enforcement; advocates removing undocumented immigrants from state-funded programs and frames federal enforcement actions as improving public safety. She welcomes Trump’s approach to ‘‘safer borders’’ while calling for stronger local/federal law enforcement responses to immigration-related issues.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports significant restrictions on abortion, including prohibiting partial-birth abortions and abortions in the third trimester, requiring parental/guardian notice for minors, and treating an unborn child born alive after an attempted abortion as a person under law. She has authored and sponsored legislation reflecting these restrictions and has stated she is personally opposed to abortion rights. These positions indicate support for restrictive abortion policy with some specified exceptions rather than a total ban.

Climate & Energy

Supports an "all-of-the-above" energy approach prioritizing affordable, reliable power; opposes aggressive renewable mandates and 100% carbon‑free electricity targets; favors repealing Minnesota's ban on nuclear energy and reforming regulations she views as driving up energy costs.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate opposes recent Minnesota measures such as the red-flag (Extreme Risk Protection Order) law and expanded universal background checks, arguing they infringe on due process and Second Amendment rights and create burdens for law-abiding gun owners. She says enforcement of existing laws should be prioritized over new restrictions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 15, 2026

Lisa Demuth has won the Republican nomination for Minnesota governor, making her the GOP’s candidate in the 2026 race. She defeated Mike Lindell in the primary, and the result was still being discussed as votes were counted and Lindell refused to concede. Demuth had entered the race after earlier party endorsement issues, and her win sets up a competitive general election campaign.

house.mn.gov+48

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Lisa Demuth currently averages 36.9%, ranking second in this race, 12.9 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 36.9%Position: secondMargin: -12.9 ptsLatest poll: 36.0% (Aug 13 - 17)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 13 - 17.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
36.9%
49.8%
Lisa Demuth
L. Demuth
Amy Klobuchar
A. Klobuchar
Date (Start - End)SpreadDemuthKlobuchar
Polling Average
Klobuchar+12.9
36.9%49.8%
SurveyUSAAug 13 - 17
Klobuchar+15.0
36.0%51.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyJun 8 - 10
Klobuchar+8.0
40.0%48.0%
Emerson CollegeFeb 6 - 8
Klobuchar+13.4
37.7%51.1%
SurveyUSAJan 27 - 30
Klobuchar+15.0
34.0%49.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

4
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising