$448.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 7:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | 48.9% | $2.52M | |
| 6% | 38.7% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Lisa Demuth has won the Republican nomination for Minnesota governor, setting the GOP field for the general election. The race is being described as one of Minnesota’s most competitive in years, with concerns over Trump, immigration enforcement, and fraud issues shaping the contest. Demuth’s nomination clarifies the Republican side of the race, but the provided material does not show a clear shift in odds. The market still looks competitive and uncertain.
Trump’s comments about Paxton came during the president’s second Texas visit in just weeks.
Senate Republicans’ top campaign spending organization is pulling back in purple North Carolina and pouring money into red Kansas. That striking shift shows how the party’s plan to keep its majority in November has turned into an increasingly defensive fight.
About 1,800 people braved drizzling skies and overflowing parking lots to crowd into the Val Air Ballroom to hear Rob Sand in West Des Moines.
Minnesota’s DFL Republican primaries for U.S. Senate and governor set the stage for what may be the most competitive statewide races for top offices in recent memory.
Peggy Flanagan won Minnesota’s DFL Senate primary over Angie Craig, while Michele Tafoya claimed the GOP nomination for the open seat.
Primary elections took place in six U.S. states on Tuesday, with the race to replace Minnesota Governor Tim Walz now set and another Progressive Democrat moving on to November's midterm elections.
President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.
Sen. Amy Klobuchar announced her candidacy in January after Gov. Tim Walz said he would not run for a third term.
Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary has become the latest test of the party's divide between moderates and progressives.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jan 27, 2026 and Sep 15, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
A. KlobucharAmy KlobucharSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
