Prediction Edge
Luis Reyna

Luis Reyna

Live Odds — CA-48 primary: first place

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$4.6KJUN 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Supports affordable and accessible healthcare, expansion of mental-health care and crisis prevention, and protections for veterans, seniors, and people with disabilities to ensure access to care. Emphasizes reducing healthcare costs as part of broader affordability goals.

Climate & Energy

The candidate's campaign materials express general support for protecting the environment (references to stewarding the environment, clean air, flood protection, and accessible transit) but do not provide concrete climate or energy policy proposals, targets, or positions on fossil fuels, carbon pricing, or major clean-energy legislation.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Luis Reyna is in the news because he is a candidate in California’s closely watched 48th Congressional District race, which is being seen as an important House battleground. Recent coverage focuses on the June primary and the district’s redrawn map, but the summaries do not say exactly how Reyna performed or whether he advanced. The race remains part of the broader fight for control of the U.S. House.

voteinfo.net+49

Latest Polls

CA-48 primary: first place

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

SurveyUSA
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
25%
13%
12%
6%
Luis Reyna
L. Reyna
Jim Desmond
J. Desmond
Kevin O'Neil
K. O'Neil
Ammar Campa-Najjar
A. Campa-Najjar
Mike Schaefer
M. Schaefer
Eric Shaw
E. Shaw
Ferguson Porter
F. Porter
Stephen Clemons
S. Clemons
Date (Start - End)SpreadReynaDesmondO'NeilCampa-NajjarSchaeferShawPorterClemons
SurveyUSAApr 14 - 19
Desmond+25.0
0.0%25.0%13.0%12.0%6.0%2.0%1.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising