Prediction Edge
Republican
Madison Cawthorn

Madison Cawthorn

Overview

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age30 years old (Aug 1, 1995)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundPolitician

EducationPatrick Henry College (attended; political science)

Notable personal detailsDavid Madison Cawthorn is an American Republican politician who served as the U.S. representative for North Carolina’s 11th congressional district from 2021 to 2023. He attended Patrick Henry College in Purcellville, Virginia, and has worked as a business owner. After losing the 2022 Republican primary in North Carolina, he later announced a bid for Florida’s 19th congressional district.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Opposes tax increases proposed by Democrats and argues that raising taxes (including on capital gains and income) would harm the economy; supported policies and votes aligned with lower taxes and limited government spending. Voting and advocacy record shows consistent opposition to major Democratic tax-and-spend measures.

Healthcare

Supports market-based healthcare reforms focused on increasing competition and reducing insurer market power, opposes abolishing Medicare, and advocates eliminating waste to streamline benefits. Emphasizes free‑market solutions rather than expansion of government programs or single‑payer approaches.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement (often summarized as “walls and doors”) while endorsing legal immigration; emphasizes stopping illegal immigration, human trafficking, and limiting benefits for undocumented migrants. Has sponsored legislation to restrict federal funding related to transportation of undocumented immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate describes himself as pro‑life and states that life begins at conception, supporting legal protections beginning at conception. He cosponsored and supported multiple federal measures to restrict abortion (including fetal heartbeat bans, prohibitions on certain procedures, and bans on taxpayer‑funded abortions).

Climate & Energy

The candidate expresses skepticism about the severity of human-driven climate change and has a low lifetime score from environmental advocacy groups for votes supporting climate and clean-energy measures. Public statements describe climate change as "pretty minimal," and his congressional voting record shows opposition to multiple climate-related proposals.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate opposes expanded gun regulations and defended unfettered Second Amendment rights on the House floor. He voted against federal measures including an assault-weapons ban and the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act and has high ratings from gun-rights organizations.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMay 19, 2026

Madison Cawthorn is in the news because he is running in the crowded 2026 race for Florida’s 19th Congressional District. The seat opened up after Byron Donalds decided to run for governor, and the Republican primary is expected to be the main contest. The field also includes Jim Oberweis, Jim Schwartzel, and Catalina Lauf, and there is no clear frontrunner yet.

history.house.gov+53

Polls

FL-19 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
10%8%6%4%2%0%
6%
7.5%
7%
Madison Cawthorn
M. Cawthorn
Jim Oberweis
J. Oberweis
Chris Collins
C. Collins
Jim Schwartzel
J. Schwartzel
Date (Start - End)SpreadCawthornOberweisCollinsSchwartzel
Polling Average
Oberweis+1.5
6.0%7.5%7.0%4.5%
InquireOct 4 - 6
Oberweis+3.0
4.0%7.0%5.0%4.0%
InquireOct 4 - 6
Collins+1.0
8.0%8.0%9.0%5.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$519.5K
$389.7K
$259.8K
$129.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$519.5K
$232.8K
$286.8K
$19.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements