CA-07 House winner?
5dMai Vang is now leading the "CA-07 House winner?" race with 55% odds, ahead of the prior leader by 5.0 points.
55%
Democrat
Mai Vang
Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California
$19.5K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Mai Vang is trading at 51% to win the CA-07 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleCouncil Member
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyProgressive Democrat
GenderFemale
LocationCalifornia
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BackgroundSacramento City Councilmember (District 8)
Notable personal detailsMai Yang Vang is an American politician and educator serving on the Sacramento City Council (District 8) since 2020. She is running as a Democrat for the U.S. House in California’s 7th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. She has described herself as the daughter of Hmong refugees from Laos and the eldest of 16 children raised in Sacramento, and has worked as a teacher and in nonprofit education leadership.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govmaiforus.comen.wikipedia.orgapnews.comcouragecalifornia.orgelectionscali.comviausworkers.comcapradio.orgcookpolitical.comsacbee.comcityofsacramento.govworkingfamilies.orgdocquery.fec.govelections.cdn.sos.ca.govreddit.commaivang.orgmaivangsacramento.orgnationalnursesunited.orgrecords.cityofsacramento.orgsmud.orgjusticedemocrats.comsacasiancc.orgyahoo.comtransparencyusa.orgcadem.orgsunrisemovement.orgourrevolution.comfoodandwateraction.orgabc10.comdemocraticleft.dsausa.orgcalmatters.orglodinews.compolitico.comcommondreams.orgyoutube.comfacebook.cominstagram.comballotready.orgvotesmart.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgdata.ballotpedia.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgvoterguide.ballotpedia.orgstatic.votesmart.orgfr.wikipedia.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports expanded government spending on healthcare, housing, and jobs and advocates taking on the billionaire class while refusing corporate PAC money; platform emphasizes investing tax dollars in social programs rather than military spending. Local record includes leading/supporting city initiatives to direct public funds (e.g., Sacramento Children’s Fund, expanded uses for hotel/transient occupancy taxes).
Healthcare
Supports Medicare for All and expansion of Medicare, prioritizes guaranteeing health care for everyone, and calls for prioritizing people over insurance company profits to ensure everyone can see a doctor and afford medicine.
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Immigration & Border
Mai Vang opposes increased Immigration and Customs Enforcement activity and emphasizes protecting immigrant communities while calling for fixing the immigration system. Her campaign and endorsers frame her as a defender of immigrant neighbors and critic of restrictive federal immigration policies. She supports policies in line with California immigrant-protection laws and seeks reform with a humanitarian focus alongside public-safety considerations.
Climate & Energy
Supports addressing climate change impacts on Sacramento (heatwaves, fires, floods) and has participated in local clean energy and electrification initiatives aimed at reducing emissions and improving community resilience. Advocates for investments that benefit working families and equitable clean energy projects.
Public Safety & Guns
Mai Vang’s campaign and public record emphasize community investments, public-safety reform, and reallocating some police overtime funding toward behavioral health and prevention programs. Her public materials critique police militarization and stress prevention-focused approaches to safety. There is no clear, specific public position on federal or state firearm policies (for example, universal background checks, assault-weapons bans, or red-flag laws) found in the cited sources.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026
Mai Vang has advanced from California’s top-two primary and is now set for a November general election matchup with incumbent Doris Matsui in the Sacramento-area congressional race. Recent vote counting also showed Vang moving ahead of Matsui in the district, though the result was not described as officially certified. The race has drawn attention as a competitive intraparty challenge centered on generational change, along with scrutiny over Vang’s past refusal to recite the Pledge of Allegiance and her criticism of Matsui’s campaign strategy.
fec.gov+44
Articles
SSFGATE3 months ago
California Democrat endorsed by Pelosi falls behind younger challenger
Positive
TNThe New York Times3 months ago
Doris Matsui to Face Mai Vang in General Election for Sacramento House Seat
Positive
TAThe Associated Press3 months ago
Matsui advances to November ballot in reelection bid for California House seat
Neutral
NYNew York Post3 months ago
Sacramento congressional candidate who turns back on US flag struggles in election
Negative
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Mai Vang currently averages 19.5%, ranking second in this race, 6.5 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 19.5%Position: secondMargin: -6.5 ptsLatest poll: 22.0% (May 1 - 5)Polls included: 2
Average recalculated from polls through May 1 - 5.
Polling Average
30%20%10%0%
19.5%
26%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
10CA-07 primary: first place
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.1M
$814.6K
$543.0K
$271.5K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$1.1M
$105.5K
$980.5K
$54.5K
Source: FEC