$61.7K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 16, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63% | 26.0% | $3.19M | |
| 39% | 19.5% | $1.09M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
A new California poll says voters are more open to progressive labels than to mainstream Democrats. It also shows a clear age split inside the Democratic electorate. The findings point to ongoing ideological tension in California politics. The poll may modestly help progressive-aligned candidates, but the effect is unclear without district-specific data. It also suggests some uncertainty within the Democratic electorate.
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war.
Scandals abound as voters in Florida, Alaska, Wyoming, and California choose between felons, underwear models, and disgraced former congressmen.
Zohran Mamdani is going to be the Democratic Party's shadow president in the coming years, no matter who the party puts up for 2028.
Two years on, higher gasoline and grocery prices are squeezing household budgets and turning the cost of living into the top issue for voters.
Francesca Hong, a democratic socialist, lost the Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor to Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley amid electability concerns ahead of November.
By David Wright, Tami Luhby, CNN (CNN) — President Donald Trump marked the 250th anniversary of the nation’s founding on July Fourth with a speech touting a roaring stock market, urging election reforms, and hailing military interventions in Venezuela and Iran. But another anniversary went conspicuously unmarked: the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill
Will moderates show up in sufficient numbers to blunt the far-left’s rise?
California voters are more inclined to back progressives running for office than mainstream Democrats, a new poll found, though a marked generational divide separates those who favor each camp.
So far, just one House Republican has said he relinquished the contribution.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 17, 2026 and May 5, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
D. MatsuiDoris MatsuiM. VangMai VangSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
