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2026 California House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 California House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

CA-07 House winner?

$19.5K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 25, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Doris Matsui	52%	26.0%	$3.19M
Mai Vang	51%	19.5%	$1.09M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 25, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$19.5K

24h volume

D. Matsui52%

M. Vang51%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

California 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

CA-07 House winner?

Mai Vang is now leading the "CA-07 House winner?" race with 55% odds, ahead of the prior leader by 5.0 points.

55%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

A new California poll says voters are more open to candidates labeled progressive than to mainstream Democrats. It also shows a clear age split inside the Democratic electorate. Democratic socialism gets a mixed response, so the signal is positive for progressives but not decisive. The poll may modestly help progressive-leaning candidates, but the effect on this district is unclear. It mainly suggests ideology and labeling could matter in California races.

Articles

WEWashington Examiner2 days ago

Zohran Mamdani, the Democratic Party's shadow presidential nominee

Zohran Mamdani is going to be the Democratic Party's shadow president in the coming years, no matter who the party puts up for 2028.

BNBreitbart News Network7 days ago

* Election Night Livewire * Byron Donalds Eyes Governor's Mansion as Scandals Plague Races Across Country

Scandals abound as voters in Florida, Alaska, Wyoming, and California choose between felons, underwear models, and disgraced former congressmen.

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat6 days ago

California voters favor progressive candidates, split over democratic socialism, poll finds

California voters are more inclined to back progressives running for office than mainstream Democrats, a new poll found, though a marked generational divide separates those who favor each camp.

HHuffPost9 days ago

Trump's 2024 Grocery Photo Op Now Haunts Republicans In The Midterms

Two years on, higher gasoline and grocery prices are squeezing household budgets and turning the cost of living into the top issue for voters.

FNFox News13 days ago

Francesca Hong upset in Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, voters react

Francesca Hong, a democratic socialist, lost the Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor to Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley amid electability concerns ahead of November.

AABC17News.com1 month ago

It was supposed to be Trump’s big legislative achievement. It could be a weapon for Democrats to win in the midterms

By David Wright, Tami Luhby, CNN (CNN) — President Donald Trump marked the 250th anniversary of the nation’s founding on July Fourth with a speech touting a roaring stock market, urging election reforms, and hailing military interventions in Venezuela and Iran. But another anniversary went conspicuously unmarked: the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill

SASanta Ana Orange County Register2 months ago

California will decide the House - and how far left Democrats have gone

Will moderates show up in sufficient numbers to blunt the far-left’s rise?

PPOLITICO13 days ago

Republicans stay mum on whether they’ll return campaign cash from embattled Max Miller

So far, just one House Republican has said he relinquished the contribution.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 17, 2026 and May 5, 2026.

Polling Average

30%20%10%0%

26%

19.5%

D. Matsui

M. Vang

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Matsui	Vang
Polling Average	Matsui+6.5	26.0%	19.5%
Data for ProgressMay 1 - 5	Matsui+2.0	24.0%	22.0%
Upswing ResearchMar 17 - 23	Matsui+11.0	28.0%	17.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jun 30, 2026

$5M

$3.8M

$2.5M

$1.3M

D. Matsui

M. Vang

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

D. MatsuiDoris Matsui

$3.19MContrib: $1.79M

$467.5KSpent: $3.03M

$168.4KLast period: $231.4K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

M. VangMai Vang

$1.09MContrib: $1.08M

$105.5KSpent: $980.5K

$54.5KLast period: $266.8K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

2026 California House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

CA-07 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

CA-07 House winner?

Latest Election News

Zohran Mamdani, the Democratic Party's shadow presidential nominee

* Election Night Livewire * Byron Donalds Eyes Governor's Mansion as Scandals Plague Races Across Country

California voters favor progressive candidates, split over democratic socialism, poll finds

Trump's 2024 Grocery Photo Op Now Haunts Republicans In The Midterms

Francesca Hong upset in Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, voters react

It was supposed to be Trump’s big legislative achievement. It could be a weapon for Democrats to win in the midterms

California will decide the House - and how far left Democrats have gone

Republicans stay mum on whether they’ll return campaign cash from embattled Max Miller

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

CA-07 House winner?

Latest Election News

Zohran Mamdani, the Democratic Party's shadow presidential nominee

* Election Night Livewire * Byron Donalds Eyes Governor's Mansion as Scandals Plague Races Across Country

California voters favor progressive candidates, split over democratic socialism, poll finds

Trump's 2024 Grocery Photo Op Now Haunts Republicans In The Midterms

Francesca Hong upset in Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, voters react

It was supposed to be Trump’s big legislative achievement. It could be a weapon for Democrats to win in the midterms

California will decide the House - and how far left Democrats have gone

Republicans stay mum on whether they’ll return campaign cash from embattled Max Miller

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

2026 California House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

CA-07 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

CA-07 House winner?

Latest Election News

Zohran Mamdani, the Democratic Party's shadow presidential nominee

*** Election Night Livewire *** Byron Donalds Eyes Governor's Mansion as Scandals Plague Races Across Country

California voters favor progressive candidates, split over democratic socialism, poll finds

Trump's 2024 Grocery Photo Op Now Haunts Republicans In The Midterms

Francesca Hong upset in Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, voters react

It was supposed to be Trump’s big legislative achievement. It could be a weapon for Democrats to win in the midterms

California will decide the House - and how far left Democrats have gone

Republicans stay mum on whether they’ll return campaign cash from embattled Max Miller

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

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Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

CA-07 House winner?

Latest Election News

Zohran Mamdani, the Democratic Party's shadow presidential nominee

*** Election Night Livewire *** Byron Donalds Eyes Governor's Mansion as Scandals Plague Races Across Country

California voters favor progressive candidates, split over democratic socialism, poll finds

Trump's 2024 Grocery Photo Op Now Haunts Republicans In The Midterms

Francesca Hong upset in Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, voters react

It was supposed to be Trump’s big legislative achievement. It could be a weapon for Democrats to win in the midterms

California will decide the House - and how far left Democrats have gone

Republicans stay mum on whether they’ll return campaign cash from embattled Max Miller

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

California Governor winner? (Person)

California Governor winner?

CA-11 House winner?

* Election Night Livewire * Byron Donalds Eyes Governor's Mansion as Scandals Plague Races Across Country

* Election Night Livewire * Byron Donalds Eyes Governor's Mansion as Scandals Plague Races Across Country