Prediction Edge
Democrat
Mantosh Kumar

Mantosh Kumar

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds — CA-15 primary: first place

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

9%chance to win

$3.6KJUN 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleTechnology program leader

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

LocationCalifornia

BackgroundTechnology program leader

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Notable personal detailsMantosh Kumar is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in California’s 15th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He has described his professional background as leading large technology programs and managing budgets ranging from hundreds of millions to over a billion dollars. His campaign biography describes him as a first-generation immigrant, husband, and father, and emphasizes policy priorities including housing affordability, healthcare, and worker protections amid AI-driven job disruption.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports targeted tax relief for low- and middle-income households (property tax circuit-breaker and refundable renter tax credit), higher corporate accountability and new taxes on companies that automate jobs (an "AI Displacement Tax" to fund worker transition), and policies to shift corporate compensation and increase the taxable base to fund expanded social programs such as single-payer healthcare and broad retraining programs.

Healthcare

Supports implementing universal healthcare via a single-payer system and specifically endorses passage of Medicare for All (citing H.R.3069 / S.1506) as the solution to ensure coverage for all and eliminate private insurance for core benefits.

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Climate & Energy

Mantosh Kumar has opposed utility actions that would reduce California’s solar programs and has pushed back against local utility rate hikes, but he has not published a clear, comprehensive climate or energy policy on his campaign site or in major public statements. Available public materials show supportive action for local renewable programs and utility accountability but do not specify positions on national climate targets, fossil fuel phase-out, carbon pricing, or large-scale clean energy legislation.

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$22.3K
$16.8K
$11.2K
$5.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$22.3K
$7.2K
$15.1K
$841.33

Source: FEC

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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