Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.8%
46.1%
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
OH-09 House winner?
The selected contract has a verified final result.
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:03 AM UTC
Democrat
Incumbent
IncumbentMarcy Kaptur
Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Ohio
$300.4K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — OH-09 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
82%chance to win
$300.4KNOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyModerate Democrat
Age80 years old (Jun 17, 1946)
GenderFemale
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LocationOhio
BackgroundUrban planner
EducationSt. Ursula Academy (Toledo, Ohio)
Notable personal detailsMarcia Carolyn “Marcy” Kaptur is a U.S. Representative from Ohio who has served in Congress since 1983. She earned a B.A. from the University of Wisconsin–Madison (1968) and an M.A. in urban planning from the University of Michigan (1974), and later pursued post-graduate studies at MIT. Before entering Congress, she worked as an urban planner and served as an assistant director for urban affairs on the domestic policy staff in the Executive Office of the President during the Carter administration.
SourcesShowHide
history.house.govkaptur.house.goven.wikipedia.orgwikidata.orgcef.orgapnews.comcommons.wikimedia.orgwikizero.orgde.wikipedia.orgmarcykaptur.comfr.wikipedia.orgoab.orgbw.eduencyclopedia.combgsu.edunecanet.orggovinfo.govohiomuseums.orglaprensanewspaper.complannedparenthoodaction.orgdccc.orgpolitifact.comawpc.cattcenter.iastate.educlerk.house.govcongress.govthefreedomindex.orgafge.orgteamster.orgoft-aft.orgfacebook.comballotpedia.orgbluevoterguide.orgohiocapitaljournal.comrollcall.comstatenews.orgnbcnews.comtoledoblade.com13abc.comwtol.comthe-downballot.comwashingtonpost.comyahoo.comthedailybeast.comstaytunedsandusky.comjustthenews.comx.comappropriations.house.govdemocrats-appropriations.house.govfec.govhouse.govziplook.house.govpressgallery.house.govdocs.house.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Kaptur supports closing tax loopholes and making large corporations pay a minimum tax, while protecting small businesses and households earning under $400,000 from tax increases. Her economic messaging emphasizes stronger middle-class wages, opposition to corporate tax breaks that ship jobs overseas, and policies aimed at lowering costs and creating jobs.
Healthcare
Marcy Kaptur supports the Affordable Care Act and describes health insurance coverage for all as an important domestic policy goal. Her publicly posted materials emphasize access to affordable coverage, enrollment help for ACA plans, and support for Medicare.
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Immigration & Border
Kaptur has backed stronger border security and bipartisan immigration enforcement measures, including calls for comprehensive border security and support for lawful border security funding. She has also emphasized oversight and constitutional safeguards for ICE and CBP and supported preserving legal status and work authorization for Ukrainians in the United States.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Marcy Kaptur opposes a national abortion ban and says reproductive health decisions should be made by a woman and her doctor rather than lawmakers. Her campaign also says the criminalization of reproductive healthcare must be fought, and she has been endorsed by Planned Parenthood Action Fund.
Climate & Energy
Supports climate action and clean-energy investment, including backing the Inflation Reduction Act to lower energy costs and create jobs. Also emphasizes balancing climate goals with energy affordability and reliability, and has supported LNG exports when framed as helping allies and serving strategic needs.
Public Safety & Guns
Marcy Kaptur has backed gun-violence prevention measures centered on school safety, firearm storage, and expanding gun-safety information for parents. Her public statements emphasize gun violence as a serious public safety problem and support bipartisan measures to reduce access to unsafe firearms and improve safe storage.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 29, 2026
Marcy Kaptur is in the news because she is heading into a competitive 2026 race for Ohio’s 9th Congressional District. Republican Derek Merrin won the GOP primary and will face Kaptur in the general election. Reports say the district is a toss-up, with redistricting and voter concerns about rising costs shaping the contest.
history.house.gov+52
Latest Polls
OH-09 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Marcy Kaptur currently averages 46.8%, ranking first in this race, 0.7 points ahead of the nearest opponent.
Polling average: 46.8%Position: firstMargin: +0.7 ptsLatest poll: 49.4% (Oct 20 - 23)Polls included: 3
Average recalculated from polls through Oct 20 - 23.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$5.1M
$3.8M
$2.5M
$1.3M
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$3.4M
$380.0K
$3.8M
$157.7K
Cycle 2024
$5.1M
$448.9K
$5.0M
$208.2K
Cycle 2026
$4.3M
$3.5M
$1.3M
$70.0K
Source: FEC
Not available in this saved edition
These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.
- Endorsements