OH-09 House winner?
3dMarcy Kaptur's odds are now 84%, above the previous high of 72%.
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 84% | $4.30M | |
| 32% | $1.51M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.
Marcy Kaptur's odds are now 84%, above the previous high of 72%.
AP reported Marcy Kaptur was treated for non-life-threatening injuries after a car accident in Toledo, giving the OH-09 rematch a new news catalyst while her market remains sharply repriced higher on the day. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/a5d45b9bd793c6f605fea4a7bd6c28a2?utm_source=openai))
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest recent development is NRCC backing for Republican nominee Derek Merrin in Ohio’s 9th District. Merrin has already secured the GOP nomination and will face Marcy Kaptur in November. Coverage also says the district is a toss-up under a new map drawn to favor Republicans. NRCC support and the new map may modestly improve Republican sentiment, but the race is still described as a toss-up. Overall uncertainty remains high.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 18, 2026 and Apr 20, 2026.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. KapturMarcy Kaptur
D. MerrinDerek MerrinSource: FEC