Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Maria Elvira Salazar

Maria Elvira Salazar

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Maria Elvira Salazar is trading at 100% to win the FL-27 Republican nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age64 years old (Nov 1, 1961)

GenderFemale

Show more

LocationFlorida

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationUniversity of Miami (B.A., 1983)

Notable personal detailsMaría Elvira Salazar is an American journalist, author, and politician who has served as the U.S. representative for Florida's 27th congressional district since 2021. Before elected office, she worked for decades in Spanish-language television news, including at Telemundo, and later hosted political news programming in Miami. She earned a B.A. from the University of Miami and an M.P.A. from Harvard University.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax cuts and pro-growth, pro-business tax policies and has voted for Republican legislation that reduces taxes and prioritizes economic growth. Advocates reducing regulatory burdens on small businesses, expanding trade, and policies she says will increase paychecks and jobs while opposing tax increases and government handouts. Has backed bills and budget measures framed as delivering historic tax relief for families and businesses.

Healthcare

Supports preserving and improving Affordable Care Act protections (including preexisting-condition protections and premium tax credits) while also backing market-based measures to increase choice and lower costs; has sponsored bipartisan bills that expand Medicare beneficiary services and fund community health workforce programs.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement while backing a limited earned-legal-status pathway (not immediate citizenship) for long-term undocumented immigrants; sponsors the bipartisan “Dignity Act,” which pairs funding for border technology/personnel and asylum-process reforms with programs to legalize certain undocumented workers under conditions. Emphasizes stopping illegal crossings and cartel exploitation while offering restricted avenues for legalization tied to work, fees, and lack of criminal records.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate opposes abortion access in general, celebrated the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision that overturned Roe v. Wade, and has voted for measures that restrict access to abortion medications and opposed federal bills to protect abortion access. Her record has been rated highly by anti-abortion organizations and she frames the issue as a states’ rights matter.

Climate & Energy

Supports targeted climate and environmental measures including restoration of the Everglades, funding for coastal resilience and coral/reef restoration, and regulatory limits on methane from oil and gas; has backed market-oriented measures such as a carbon tax proposal. Positions emphasize clean-energy and resilience investments while accepting transitional fossil fuel use.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate has a mixed record on gun policy: she supported expanded background checks and voted for some measures increasing firearm purchase age, while opposing federal 'red flag' legislation and voting against at least one assault-weapons ban. Her public statements describe support for the Second Amendment alongside efforts to keep guns away from criminals, children, and the mentally ill.

Latest Polls

FL-27 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
45%
Maria Elvira Salazar
M. Salazar
Date (Start - End)SpreadSalazar
Polling Average
45.0%
Blueprint PollingMar 6 - 8
47.0%
Blueprint PollingMar 6 - 8
46.0%
Kaplan StrategiesJul 25 - 27
45.0%
Kaplan StrategiesJul 25 - 27
45.0%
Kaplan StrategiesJul 25 - 27
42.0%
Kaplan StrategiesJul 25 - 27
45.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$5.6M
$4.2M
$2.8M
$1.4M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$5.6M
$29.9K
$5.6M
$235.0K

Cycle 2024

$3.2M
$1.4M
$1.8M
$77.1K

Cycle 2026

$2.0M
$2.3M
$1.2M
$60.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • News
  • Endorsements