$23.0K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 44.3% | $2.00M | |
| 19% | — | $661.2K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest recent development is Trump’s endorsement of Rep. María Elvira Salazar in FL-27. Coverage says the move drew criticism from some MAGA supporters, but it also signals party backing for the incumbent. Separate reporting suggests South Florida voter shifts could matter in this race. The Trump endorsement likely helps Salazar's Republican standing, but the reported backlash adds some uncertainty. Broader South Florida voter shifts could still make the race more competitive.
By Fredreka Schouten, Ethan Cohen, Renée Rigdon, CNN (CNN) — Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has signed into law a map he designed to give Republicans an edge in as many as four seats now held by Democrats. State lawmakers approved the new boundaries just hours after the US Supreme Court issued a decision limiting the
By David Wright, CNN (CNN) — Republicans will gather in Dallas this week for a midterm convention that’s a version of the type normally held in presidential election years. President Donald Trump, party leaders, and battleground candidates comprise the 109 planned speakers who are there to set their agenda and rally voters, with the post-Labor
Republicans will gather in Dallas this week for a midterm convention that’s a version of the type normally held in presidential election years.
Several seats thought to be safe for Republicans shifted toward competitiveness in new Sabato’s Crystal Ball midterm ratings.
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“It is not what you promised 77 million Americans who you voted you back into the White House.”
Some in the president's base are questioning why he endorsed this congresswoman.
Some in the president's base are questioning why he endorsed this congresswoman.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 25, 2025 and Jul 27, 2025.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. SalazarMaria Elvira Salazar
E. RodriguezEliott RodriguezSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
