Prediction Edge
Republican
Maria Rodriguez

Maria Rodriguez

Latest Insights

KY-03 Republican nominee?

21d

Maria Rodriguez’s Republican nominee price in Kentucky’s 3rd District is now steady at 84%, after recently climbing from 75% over the past few days. With the May 19 primary tomorrow, the market is still signaling she is the clear favorite heading into voting, which matters for anyone pricing the nomination outcome.

84%0%

KY-03 Republican nominee?

21d

Her market price climbed 8 points in the last 24 hours to 81%, extending an already dominant position in the Republican primary. That matters because the race is still days from the May 19 primary, so further consolidation could narrow the path for challengers.

81%6%

KY-03 Republican nominee?

25d

Maria Rodriguez's odds are above the prior high of 75% in the Kentucky 3rd District Republican nominee race.

84%9%

Overview

Current roleTrauma nurse

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderFemale

LocationKentucky

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BackgroundTrauma nurse

EducationNursing degree (institution not publicly specified)

Notable personal detailsMaría Teresa Rodriguez is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Kentucky’s 3rd Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. She has described herself as a trauma nurse in Louisville and a small business owner, and her campaign biography states she was born and raised in Cuba and later became a U.S. citizen. She is a mother of two and has emphasized issues including public safety, lower taxes, legal immigration, and anti-abortion policies.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Campaign materials list improving healthcare access as a priority but do not provide concrete policy proposals or specify support for major reforms (e.g., Medicare for All, a public option, or specific market-based changes). Available campaign content on healthcare is generic and lacks detailed legislative or programmatic prescriptions.

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$18.6K
$14.0K
$9.3K
$4.7K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$18.6K
$15.6K
$3.1K
$203.84

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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