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MAY 20, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Maria Rodriguez’s Republican nominee price in Kentucky’s 3rd District is now steady at 84%, after recently climbing from 75% over the past few days. With the May 19 primary tomorrow, the market is still signaling she is the clear favorite heading into voting, which matters for anyone pricing the nomination outcome.
Her market price climbed 8 points in the last 24 hours to 81%, extending an already dominant position in the Republican primary. That matters because the race is still days from the May 19 primary, so further consolidation could narrow the path for challengers.
Maria Rodriguez's odds are above the prior high of 75% in the Kentucky 3rd District Republican nominee race.
Six states are holding primaries May 19 that could help to decide the balance of power in Congress and in key state governments.
M. RodriguezMaria Rodriguez
D. PayDonald PaySource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
