Prediction Edge
Republican
Mariela Roca

Mariela Roca

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Maryland

Live Odds — MD-06 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

9%chance to win

$11.3KJUN 24, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports pro-growth, pro-business tax policies including making tax reform permanent, reducing regulatory burden, cutting wasteful government spending, and lowering costs for families. She emphasizes fighting inflation, bringing high-paying jobs to the district, energy independence, and reducing government waste as part of her economic agenda.

Healthcare

Supports lowering prescription drug prices through price transparency and renegotiation with pharmaceutical companies, and prioritizes lowering healthcare costs for working families. Emphasizes ensuring veterans receive essential services and care.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports physically securing the southern border and stronger border enforcement to stop illegal immigration and drug (fentanyl) flows, while framing immigration as a law-and-order and public-safety issue. Advocacy focuses on increased border security measures rather than pathways to legal status or expanded asylum access.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports restrictions on abortion funding and limits on abortion access while allowing exceptions for rape, incest, and the mother’s life. She states the issue has been returned to the states and that the federal government should not be the primary actor on abortion policy. She also endorsed preventing taxpayer funding of abortion providers (including Planned Parenthood).

Climate & Energy

The candidate supports U.S. energy independence and emphasizes using domestic natural resources while also describing man-made climate change as a global threat requiring urgent political action. Public statements prioritize reducing regulation and gas prices alongside acknowledging the need for climate action, without endorsing aggressive decarbonization measures.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate has not published a detailed gun policy on her campaign issues page. In at least one local candidate profile she characterized gun violence as primarily a mental-health problem, suggesting emphasis on mental-health responses rather than specific new firearms restrictions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Mariela Roca is in the news as one of the Republican contenders in Maryland’s 6th Congressional District race. Recent coverage has focused on the primary field and the candidates’ positions on immigration, reproductive rights, healthcare, taxes, and infrastructure, but it does not say whether she advanced or won. The latest broader election updates in Maryland have centered on primary results, redistricting, and party nominations rather than on Roca specifically.

fec.gov+47

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$289.7K
$217.3K
$144.8K
$72.4K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$93.7K
$26.06
$93.7K
$3.9K

Cycle 2024

$289.7K
$0.00
$289.7K
$12.1K

Cycle 2026

$26.9K
$525.52
$26.4K
$1.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements