Prediction Edge
Democrat
Mark Kelly

Overview

Current roleU.S. Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age62 years old (Feb 21, 1964)

GenderMale

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LocationArizona

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUnited States Merchant Marine Academy — B.S., marine engineering and nautical science (1986)

Notable personal detailsMark Edward Kelly is a U.S. Senator from Arizona, elected in a 2020 special election and reelected in 2022. He previously served as a U.S. Navy naval aviator and test pilot, flying combat missions during Operation Desert Storm, and later became a NASA astronaut, flying four Space Shuttle missions. He earned a B.S. from the U.S. Merchant Marine Academy and an M.S. from the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School. He is married to former U.S. Representative Gabrielle Giffords.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports targeted tax relief for working and middle-class families (expanded Child Tax Credit, Earned Income Tax Credit, refundable adoption credit) and opposes tax cuts for billionaires and large corporations while backing tax provisions to support domestic clean-energy and manufacturing supply chains.

Healthcare

Supports preserving and strengthening the Affordable Care Act (including premium tax credits/subsidies) and advancing targeted federal legislation to expand access to care (Medicaid/primary care, protections for specific patient groups) and lower costs for families. Advocates bipartisan, government-led measures to keep coverage affordable and maintain in‑network access for patients.

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Immigration & Border

Supports fixing the broken immigration system with increased resources for border communities, protections for Dreamers and mixed-status families, and bipartisan agreements that combine border security measures with humanitarian and legal protections. Advocates working with both parties to secure the border while preserving asylum and family protections and expanding legal pathways where possible.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports codifying federal protections for abortion access and opposes strict abortion bans. Has co-sponsored the Women’s Health Protection Act, defended FDA authority over mifepristone, and called for restoring reproductive rights so individuals can make decisions with their doctors.

Climate & Energy

Supports substantial federal investment in clean energy, climate resilience, and emissions-reduction technologies while working with both parties on infrastructure and energy projects; has shaped and supported major climate and energy provisions in laws such as the Inflation Reduction Act and Bipartisan Infrastructure Law and sponsored legislation to expand residential and community renewable energy access and carbon-removal research.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports stricter federal gun regulations including targeted bans on highly lethal semi-automatic firearms, expanded and completed background checks for all gun sales, and laws such as red flag measures and other interventions to prevent dangerous individuals from accessing firearms.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 24, 2026

Mark Kelly is being mentioned as a notable 2028 Democratic presidential contender. A recent Washington Post analysis put him in the top tier of the field, and a new New Hampshire poll showed him at 9% support. He has also been appearing at early-party events, including Al Sharpton’s conference, where Democrats are courting Black voters and testing messages ahead of the next race.

bioguideretro.congress.gov+42

Endorsements

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

Endorsers of Mark Kelly for 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

Marlene Galán-Woods

Political organization

Marlene Galán-Woods endorsed Mark Kelly in Arizona's 1st Congressional District campaign effort.

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Nancy Lacore

Public figure

Nancy Lacore endorsed Mark Kelly for Congress.

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Darren McAuley

Public endorsement

Darren McAuley endorsed Mark Kelly in support of flipping Florida seats.

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Bale Dalton

Public figure

Bale Dalton endorsed Mark Kelly in support of flipping Florida seats.

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Sandra Jauregui

Elected official

Sandra Jauregui endorsed Mark Kelly for Nevada lieutenant governor.

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Katie Hobbs

Public figure

Katie Hobbs endorsed Mark Kelly for U.S. Senate re-election.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$35.3M
$26.5M
$17.6M
$8.8M
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$10.9M
$4.4M
$7.9M
$330.0K

Cycle 2026

$35.3M
$22.3M
$17.4M
$1.2M

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls