$3.0M
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 21, 2026, 7:58 AM UTC.
Total volume
$3.0M
24h volume
$4.0K
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
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| 11% | |
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| 5% | |
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| 3% | |
| 2% | |
| 2% | |
| 2% | |
| 1% | |
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| 1% | |
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| 1% | |
| 1% | |
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| 1% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Newsom said he would sit out the 2028 Democratic presidential race if Kamala Harris runs. The coverage also says Harris is currently leading early polling in a prospective field. Overall, the field remains early and unsettled. The news could modestly strengthen Harris’s position by reducing one possible rival. It also leaves the field unsettled, so uncertainty remains high.
By Edward-Isaac Dovere, CNN Harlingen, Texas (CNN) — “Now what?” Gina Hinojosa asked, looking at the half-done house across the lot where the crew hadn’t shown up that morning. Had the workers been pulled over? Would they come tomorrow? Were they just running late? “Your guess,” said Ronnie Cavazos, the chairman of the South Texas
Vice President JD Vance attacked Iowa Democratic gubernatorial nominee Rob Sand as a former “underwear model” while blasting his supporters as “out and out lunatics” during a Friday campaign trip to the state.
“It’s going to be a very noisy field.”
"I won't run if she runs," the California governor told CNN's Jake Tapper.
The two have spoken repeatedly since Harris endorsed El-Sayed after his primary win, but next week's roundtable will be the first time they appear in public together.
Former Vice President Kamala Harris plans to visit Michigan next week to campaign with Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic nominee for Senate.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
