Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Mark Warner

Overview

Current roleU.S. Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age71 years old (Dec 15, 1954)

GenderMale

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LocationVirginia

BackgroundPolitician

EducationGeorge Washington University (BA)

Notable personal detailsMark Robert Warner is the senior United States senator from Virginia, first elected in 2008 and serving since January 3, 2009. He previously served as the 69th governor of Virginia (2002–2006) and has worked as a technology and business leader, including co-founding the company that became Nextel. He earned a BA from George Washington University and a JD from Harvard University. He is married to Lisa Collis and they have three daughters.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax policies that provide relief to working- and middle-class families (expanded Earned Income Tax Credit and Child Tax Credit), and backs closing corporate international tax loopholes while opposing tax plans that primarily benefit the ultra-wealthy; sponsors targeted tax provisions (e.g., excluding broadband deployment grants from taxable income) and legislation to improve IRS customer service.

Healthcare

Supports strengthening and expanding the Affordable Care Act, including protections for people with preexisting conditions, expanded premium subsidies, and creation of a low-cost public option. Has sponsored legislation to cap marketplace premiums, establish a public option, and pursue targeted bipartisan reforms to improve access and lower costs. Also has pursued bipartisan fixes to Medicare/Medicare Advantage administration and access issues for seniors.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform combining strengthened border security with pathways to legal status for Dreamers and other undocumented immigrants, and has backed bipartisan bills that pair funding for border measures with opportunities for eventual citizenship. Has also criticized overreach in immigration enforcement and pressed agencies for accountability and protection of constitutional rights. Supports reforms to retain high-skilled immigrants for economic growth alongside humanitarian protections.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Mark Warner supports protecting and restoring access to abortion and broader reproductive health care at the federal level, has cosponsored the Women’s Health Protection Act, and has called for safeguarding rights overturned by Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization. He has also cosponsored legislation to protect access to IVF and contraception.

Climate & Energy

Supports U.S. climate commitments and federal actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions while backing significant clean-energy investment and regional market-based programs; favors an "all-of-the-above" energy portfolio including renewables, nuclear, and carbon-capture research. Has voted for major climate and clean-energy legislation and sponsored/co-sponsored bills to expand regional greenhouse-gas reduction programs and to uphold Paris Agreement commitments.

Public Safety & Guns

Mark R. Warner supports expanded federal background checks, Extreme Risk Protection Orders (red flag laws), and federal restrictions on assault-style weapons and high-capacity magazines. He has co-sponsored and reintroduced legislation to expand background checks and has promoted a Virginia-based plan to enact additional gun-safety measures at the federal level.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 24, 2026

Mark Warner is in the news for rolling out a major AI policy plan tied to his 2026 reelection campaign, including new testing, transparency, and safety rules for advanced AI systems. He also proposed federal tax breaks for data centers only if they meet energy-efficiency, water-use disclosure, and environmental standards. Warner has said this will be his final Senate campaign if he is reelected, and he is still facing the Republican nominee from Virginia’s Aug. 4 primary.

warner.senate.gov+42

Polls

The Public Sentiment Institute
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47.8%
Mark Warner
M. Warner
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 16, 2026
47.8%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 16, 2026
50.7%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 5, 2026
50.3%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 5, 2026
53.8%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 5, 2026
54.6%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 5, 2026
54.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Virginia Democratic Senate nominee?

Endorsers of Mark Warner for Virginia Democratic Senate nominee?

Shannon Taylor

Public figure

Shannon Taylor endorsed Mark Warner for Congress in Virginia's 1st Congressional District.

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Tim Kaine

Public figure

Tim Kaine endorsed Mark Warner for reelection to the U.S. Senate.

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Every Statewide Elected Official and the Entire Virginia Democratic Congressional Delegation

Public endorsement

Virginia Democratic statewide elected officials and the Virginia Democratic congressional delegation endorsed Mark Warner for U.S. Senate.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$17.9M
$13.4M
$8.9M
$4.5M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$3.0M
$2.6M
$839.7K
$35.0K

Cycle 2024

$4.3M
$5.6M
$1.3M
$52.8K

Cycle 2026

$17.9M
$16.1M
$7.3M
$385.7K

Source: FEC