$21.9K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96% | 50.8% | $17.89M | |
| 3% | 29.5% | $418.7K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Virginia Republicans are set to pick their Senate nominee in an Aug. 4 primary, with three candidates competing to challenge Mark Warner. Broader 2026 Senate coverage shows Republicans holding narrow polling edges in some battlegrounds despite weak Trump approval, while other states are seeing major nomination shakeups. The Virginia market still looks early and mostly driven by the GOP nomination process. Broader Senate polling suggests a mixed environment for Democrats, but there is no Virginia-specific polling here to shift odds sharply.
In Bellevue, Tom Tiffany delivered his first message as the Republican nominee for governor, focusing on Crowley and the Democratic primary outcome.
It's the second time in just over a week that polls and prediction markets' odds were off, following a miss in the Democratic U.S. senate primary in Michigan.
In Virginia, Democratic primary voters have a history of rewarding moderate candidates, a trend that continued on Tuesday.
Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez and Republican state Sen. John Braun will advance to a general election in Washington's 3rd District, one of the most hotly contested House contests of this year, CBS News projects.
By Tim ReidWASHINGTON, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Michigan voters head to the polls on Tuesday in a high-stakes Democratic Senate primary that could shape the battle for control of Congress and the future of the Democratic Party amid a fierce internal debate over U.S. support for Israel.The contest pits Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive former public health official who wants to end unconditional U.S. military aid to Israel and accuses it of genocide, against U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate backed by pro-Israel groups and a longtime outspoken supporter of Israel.
Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA) is one of several Democrats rumored to be laying the groundwork for a 2028 presidential campaign.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
By Nathan Worcester Contributing Writer JACKSON, Ga. — A competitive contest among Georgia Republicans is on its way to a second round. As of 11:52 p.m. ET on Tuesday, none of the major candidates […]
Keisha Lance Bottoms narrowly leads in Georgia governor poll, but the race remains within the margin of error.
No Democrat has won a Kansas Senate seat since 1932, and Republicans have held both of the state’s Senate seats continuously since 1939.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between May 1, 2026 and Jun 16, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. WarnerMark WarnerB. MizusawaBert MizusawaSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
