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Which Party wins the 2026 Virginia Senate Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 172 daysLast updated: May 19, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC

Virginia Senate winner?

$18.5K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

95.6%

R. Party

6.5%

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$18.5K

24h volume

D. Party96%

R. Party7%

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source: Kalshi

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AINews Summary

Maine’s Senate race now looks like a Collins-versus-Platner contest after Janet Mills left the field. Collins has the cash advantage, but prediction markets still lean Democratic. In Georgia, the Senate primary is approaching and a runoff may be needed, keeping that race uncertain. The Maine update keeps the seat competitive but still points to a Democratic edge in current market pricing. Georgia’s primary and possible runoff add uncertainty, but no direct Virginia-specific shift is shown.

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Polls

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

50.9%

38%

27.1%

26.8%

M. Warner

G. Youngkin

D. Williams

B. Mizusawa

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Warner	Youngkin	Williams	Mizusawa
Polling Average	Warner+12.9	50.9%	38.0%	27.1%	26.8%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 1 - 5	Warner+24.8	53.8%	–	29.0%	–
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 1 - 5	Warner+25.8	54.6%	–	–	28.8%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 1 - 5	Warner+25.9	50.7%	–	–	24.8%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 1 - 5	Warner+25.0	50.3%	–	25.3%	–
Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public AffairsDec 18 - Jan 15	Warner+7.0	45.0%	38.0%	–	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party wins the 2026 Virginia Senate Election?

Virginia Senate winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

News

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

Republicans Wind Down Their Post

AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in Idaho’s Primaries

Editorial Roundup: United States

RNC launches multimillion-dollar election integrity push in 17 states

Missouri’s new US House map goes to court while Louisiana and South Carolina consider redistricting

An early look at Susan Collins versus Graham Platner, by the numbers

DeSantis and Florida Republicans push to flip four US House seats in what Democrats call a ‘dummymander’

Could GA pick Democratic leaders in midterm? What polls, expert says

Democratic grassroots group to target more than 60 races with ambitious canvassing effort

Polls

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News

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

Republicans Wind Down Their Post

AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in Idaho’s Primaries

Editorial Roundup: United States

RNC launches multimillion-dollar election integrity push in 17 states

Missouri’s new US House map goes to court while Louisiana and South Carolina consider redistricting

An early look at Susan Collins versus Graham Platner, by the numbers

DeSantis and Florida Republicans push to flip four US House seats in what Democrats call a ‘dummymander’

Could GA pick Democratic leaders in midterm? What polls, expert says

Democratic grassroots group to target more than 60 races with ambitious canvassing effort

Polls

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