Prediction Edge
Democrat
Matt Gromlich

Matt Gromlich

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Louisiana

Live Odds — LA-04 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

7%chance to win

$17.1KNOV 3, 2027

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports expanding tax credits to lower costs for families and prioritizing federal spending for domestic needs like schools, childcare, and small business growth rather than corporate subsidies or foreign aid.

Healthcare

Supports making healthcare more affordable through measures such as expanding tax credits, capping insurance rate hikes, and holding corporations accountable for price gouging to reduce costs for families.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

LA-04 Democratic nominee?

3d

Matt Gromlich is now leading with 7% and is ahead by 4.9 points.

7%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Matt Gromlich is in the news because Louisiana’s congressional map has been redrawn, with lawmakers approving a new plan that is expected to favor Republicans and could still face legal challenges. The changes come after the Supreme Court struck down the previous map and forced delays in the state’s House elections. The new map would eliminate one majority-Black district and leave the state with a 5-1 Republican advantage in its U.S. House delegation.

fec.gov+51

Endorsements

6
LA-04 Democratic nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$268.8K
$201.6K
$134.4K
$67.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$268.8K
$10.2K
$258.5K
$13.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls