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High Impact21m

Matt Gromlich

Matt Gromlich is now leading with 7% and is ahead by 4.9 points.

ActivePrimary ElectionDemocratic

2026 Louisiana Democratic House Primary Results

Name: 2026 Louisiana Democratic House Primary Results — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: May 16, 2026Market closes: Nov 3, 11:00am ET (Nov 3, 3:00pm UTC)

LA-04 Democratic nominee?

$17.1K

MAY 16, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Aug 12, 2026, 1:53 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
Matt Gromlich	7%	$268.8K
Conrad Cable	2%	$238.9K

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 12, 2026, 1:53 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$17.1K

24h volume

M. Gromlich7%

C. Cable2%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Louisiana 2026 general election

November

WED 3

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

LA-04 Democratic nominee?

21mHigh Impact

Matt Gromlich is now leading with 7% and is ahead by 4.9 points.

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Louisiana has approved a new congressional map that is expected to favor Republicans and remove a majority-Black district. The map was signed after the Supreme Court struck down the previous plan, and it could still be challenged in court. The map change could make the broader Louisiana House environment more Republican-leaning, but its direct effect on this Democratic nomination market is unclear. Legal challenges add some uncertainty.

Articles

WWBRZ5 days ago

Qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region; see which candidates qualified

Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region

WWBRZ6 days ago

Second day of qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region

Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region

FNFox News3 months ago

Trump owns the GOP. Could Republicans pay the price in the midterms?

Trump touted a 37-0 record in Tuesday's GOP primaries, including Ed Gallrein's ouster of Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky's closely watched congressional race.

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press3 months ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]

FNFox News3 months ago

Trump targets Sen. Cassidy and Rep. Massie after Indiana primary wins

President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.

PPOLITICO3 months ago

It's showtime for Trump's revenge tour. Will he win?

So far, his chosen candidates in several May primaries are struggling to dominate their fields.

BRBaton Rouge Advocate2 months ago

U.S. Speaker Mike Johnson defends Louisiana redistricting

U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson spoke Thursday about Louisiana's new congressional map that Gov. Jeff Landry ultimately approved on Friday after the Supreme Court's Louisiana v. Callais decision.

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat3 months ago

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.

TAThe Atlanta Journal-Constitution3 months ago

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat3 months ago

The Latest: Gallrein defeats Massie in Kentucky, furthering Trump’s hold on GOP

By The Associated Press There are primary elections Tuesday in Kentucky, Alabama, Georgia, Oregon, Idaho and Pennsylvania. These contests will be a further test of President Donald Trump’s grip on Republican voters. When can we expect to see vote results tonight Kentucky will release the first results of the night. In the 2024 primaries, the […]

Candidate Endorsements

Matt Gromlich6

Conrad Cable4

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 18, 2026

$500K

$375K

$250K

$125K

M. Gromlich

C. Cable

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

M. GromlichMatt Gromlich

$268.8KContrib: $63.0K

$10.2KSpent: $258.5K

$13.6KLast period: $4.6K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 18, 2026

C. CableConrad Cable

$238.9KContrib: $236.6K

$28.3KSpent: $210.6K

$11.1KLast period: $28.3K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 18, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls

2026 Louisiana Democratic House Primary Results

LA-04 Democratic nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

LA-04 Democratic nominee?

Latest Election News

Qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region; see which candidates qualified

Second day of qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region

Trump owns the GOP. Could Republicans pay the price in the midterms?

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Trump targets Sen. Cassidy and Rep. Massie after Indiana primary wins

It's showtime for Trump's revenge tour. Will he win?

U.S. Speaker Mike Johnson defends Louisiana redistricting

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

The Latest: Gallrein defeats Massie in Kentucky, furthering Trump’s hold on GOP

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

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Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

LA-04 Democratic nominee?

Latest Election News

Qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region; see which candidates qualified

Second day of qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region

Trump owns the GOP. Could Republicans pay the price in the midterms?

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Trump targets Sen. Cassidy and Rep. Massie after Indiana primary wins

It's showtime for Trump's revenge tour. Will he win?

U.S. Speaker Mike Johnson defends Louisiana redistricting

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

The Latest: Gallrein defeats Massie in Kentucky, furthering Trump’s hold on GOP

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

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