Prediction Edge
Democrat
Matt Little

Matt Little

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Minnesota

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Matt Little is trading at 94% to win the MN-02 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age41 years old (Nov 24, 1984)

GenderMale

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LocationMinnesota

BackgroundAttorney

EducationUniversity of Minnesota (Political Science)

Notable personal detailsMatthew Martin Little is an American politician and attorney who served as mayor of Lakeville, Minnesota and later represented Minnesota Senate District 58 as a Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) member. He ran for reelection to the Minnesota Senate in 2020 and later ran for Dakota County Attorney in 2022. In 2026, he is a candidate for the U.S. House in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District and received the Minnesota DFL endorsement for District 2.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports raising corporate taxes and increasing taxes on the highest earners while eliminating loopholes like carried interest to finance targeted tax relief and credits for working families. Advocates using those revenues to lower deficits and provide tax breaks that help middle- and lower-income households (for example, credits to make housing and family formation more affordable).

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All with an opt-out for those who prefer private insurance and advocates expanding Medicare and Medicaid negotiation power to lower prescription drug prices.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports cutting ICE funding to pre‑Trump levels, replacing ICE with a new federal immigration agency, launching investigations into ICE practices, and enacting strict limits on federal immigration-enforcement actions and accountability measures for federal agents. The campaign platform calls for stronger protections for immigrants against what it describes as abusive or illegal ICE operations and for restoring legal safeguards and oversight.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports women’s reproductive freedom, seeks to restore Roe v. Wade as law after Dobbs, and advocates guaranteeing reproductive rights in both law and access by expanding affordable, accessible reproductive health care. The campaign emphasizes making legal rights practical by addressing health-care deserts and affordability so women can actually exercise their choices.

Climate & Energy

Supports action on climate change and clean energy investments, emphasizes protecting clean air and water, and backed state-level measures funding renewable energy projects and clean car standards. Focuses on addressing climate impacts to local industries and infrastructure while supporting investments and regulations to reduce emissions.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks and other common-sense gun safety measures (including reporting lost/stolen guns and enforcing straw-purchaser laws) while indicating enforcement of existing laws; has also called for pursuing red flag-style measures.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Matt Little is emerging as the favorite for the Democratic nomination in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District, where Democrats will choose their nominee in a six-way primary to replace Angie Craig. The district is expected to stay Democratic in the general election, and the Republican side is set with state Sen. Eric Pratt running unopposed after Tyler Kistner withdrew. Little was also among the candidates recently suspended and fined by Kalshi for trading on his own race.

lrl.mn.gov+51

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Harper Polling
50%40%30%20%10%0%
45%
Matt Little
M. Little
Date (Start - End)SpreadLittle
Harper PollingJun 18 - 21
45.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$923.3K
$692.5K
$461.6K
$230.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$923.3K
$127.5K
$796.2K
$41.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements