$3.7K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$3.7K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
The Minnesota 2nd District DFL endorsement went to Matt Little on May 9, confirming the key near-term catalyst in the open-seat race. That matters because it can help consolidate the Democratic field ahead of the August 11 primary, even after the market has already repriced the party favorite higher.
The Minnesota 2nd District DFL endorsement went to Matt Little on May 9, a new race-specific development that could reshape the open-seat primary and keep traders focused on whether the endorsement consolidates the party field or leaves the contest fragmented.
The DFL party’s win probability in MN-02 rose to 91.2% from 87% over the past day, with fresh reporting showing Matt Little, Matt Klein and Kaela Berg heading into Saturday’s endorsement battle. That matters because the open-seat endorsement fight is still the clearest near-term catalyst for the district’s market pricing.
The main MN-02 update is that Democratic candidate Matt Klein was fined and suspended by Kalshi after betting on himself in the primary. The primary is still set for August 11. The other Kalshi actions involve separate races and do not directly change the MN-02 general election picture. The news is mostly about market integrity, not the general election itself. It may add a little uncertainty around the primary, but it does not clearly shift the party race.
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.
If the past is any indication, Democrats’ calls for resignation aren’t likely to go anywhere.
A partisan redistricting battle among states has accelerated ahead of the midterm elections. This comes after a U.S. Supreme Court ruling that weakened the federal Voting Rights Act and opened the way for states to eliminate voting districts drawn for racial minorities.
Election season is heating up with two congressional candidates securing DFL endorsements over the weekend. Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar and former state Sen. Matt Little won party endorsements in their respective congressional district races.
In his campaign video, McGovern touted his record and criticizing Republican actions on healthcare and federal law enforcement.
Democrats believe they can make Iowa a political battleground again. Despite Republican Donald Trump winning the state by double digits in the last presidential election, dissatisfaction with his leadership and rising costs from the Iran war could help Democrats gain ground.
Prediction market platform Kalshi announced Wednesday that it has suspended three congressional candidates and imposed financial penalties after they were caught trading on their own election campaigns in violation of the platform's rules.
Minnesota Sen. Matt Klein (DFL- Mendota Heights) bet on himself to win the Democratic Primary in the 2nd Congressional District.
Its passage comes after years of debate at the state Capitol and two high-profile tragedies last summer
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
