Prediction Edge
Democrat
Matt Schultz

Matt Schultz

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Alaska

Live Odds — Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$14.7KNOV 3, 2027

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePresbyterian pastor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderMale

LocationAlaska

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BackgroundPresbyterian pastor

Notable personal detailsMatthew Damian Schultz is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House representing Alaska’s at-large district. He is a Presbyterian pastor in Anchorage and has served as pastor at First Presbyterian Church in Anchorage. Schultz has run on themes including protecting health care and Medicaid, lowering costs for families, and stewardship of Alaska’s lands and fisheries.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports measures to raise local revenue for social services and prioritizes protecting public programs like Medicaid while lowering costs for families; has publicly backed a municipal alcohol tax to fund treatment, housing, and public safety services.

Healthcare

Supports protecting and expanding access to health care by keeping clinics open, cutting premiums, safeguarding Medicaid, and funding providers such as Planned Parenthood. Emphasizes lowering out‑of‑pocket costs and addressing high health care and insurance premiums for Alaskans. Positions are framed around preventing cuts to safety‑net programs and improving affordability and access.

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Immigration & Border

Opposes aggressive ICE operations and supports sanctuary-style protections and community legal education for immigrants; advocates limiting ICE deployments and strengthening protections for immigrant communities while framing immigration as a civic and cultural benefit to Alaska.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports abortion access and identifies as pro-choice while also stating he does not favor abortion as mere birth control and recognizes exceptions such as rape, incest, and threats to the mother’s life. He frames the issue as one of individual freedom and limited government interference in bodily decisions. He has publicly participated in discussions defending Medicaid-funded reproductive health services.

Climate & Energy

Supports investment in infrastructure and a diversified energy sector to lower energy costs for Alaskans, while protecting lands, waters, and subsistence. Emphasizes practical energy solutions and lowering consumer energy prices rather than endorsing immediate fossil-fuel phaseout.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 18, 2026

Matt Schultz has ended his campaign for Alaska’s at-large U.S. House seat, though he will still appear on the August 18 primary ballot. His exit could affect the ranked-choice general election in November, where the race is now centered on Republican Nick Begich and independent Bill Hill. Before dropping out, Schultz had been one of Begich’s challengers and took part in an Anchorage forum on issues including climate change, healthcare, resource development, and AI data centers.

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Latest Polls

Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Matt Schultz currently averages 34.8%, ranking second in this race, 13.7 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 34.8%Position: secondMargin: -13.7 ptsLatest poll: 32.0% (Jul 13 - 16)Polls included: 6

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 13 - 16.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
34.8%
48.5%
16.5%
Matt Schultz
M. Schultz
Nick Begich
N. Begich
Bill Hill
B. Hill
John Williams
J. Williams
Date (Start - End)SpreadSchultzBegichHillWilliams
Polling Average
Begich+13.7
34.8%48.5%16.5%4.0%
The Bullfinch GroupJul 13 - 16
Begich+14.0
32.0%46.0%20.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityJun 15 - 29
Begich+12.0
39.0%51.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 18 - 27
Begich+10.0
45.0%55.0%
Change ResearchMar 17 - 20
Begich+28.0
17.0%45.0%13.0%4.0%
Public Policy PollingFeb 11 - 12
Begich+7.0
39.0%46.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Begich+11.0
37.0%48.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

7
Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$865.4K
$649.1K
$432.7K
$216.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$865.4K
$470.7K
$394.8K
$21.9K

Source: FEC