$14.7K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 19, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 48.4% | $5.47M | |
| 17% | 34.6% | $1.34M | |
| 1% | 34.4% | $865.4K | |
| 1% | 4.0% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
No new Alaska House developments were reported in the provided summaries. The only Alaska-specific update is about the Senate race, where Dan Sullivan is defending his seat against Mary Peltola and Republicans are backing him with major ad spending. That is indirect for this House market. These summaries do not provide direct information on the Alaska House race, so they should have little immediate effect on this market. The Alaska Senate news may slightly reinforce Republican strength in the state, but the link is indirect.
A U.S. Senate contest featuring a former congresswoman and a challenger with the same name as the incumbent headlines Alaska's primary.
A U.S. Senate contest featuring a former congresswoman and a challenger with the same name as the incumbent headlines Alaska's primary.
President Donald Trump won Alaska in all three of his White House runs, but the state’s Senate election this November is competitive.
Polling places open at 7 a.m. Tuesday and close at 8 p.m.
Republicans maintain a narrow House majority, controlling 218 seats, while Democrats hold 212.
Alaska Senate hopeful Mary Peltola rejected support this week from former Vice President Kamala Harris, who lost the state by double-digits in her failed 2024 presidential campaign.
In today’s edition, we take stock of President Donald Trump’s retribution campaign this month as Ken Paxton and James Talarico look ahead to the general election in Texas.
Decision day in Senate Republican runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, ending one of the state's nastiest campaigns.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Feb 11, 2026 and Aug 5, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
N. BegichNick BegichB. HillBill HillM. SchultzMatt SchultzSource: FEC
