$18.8K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 7:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 49.8% | $5.47M | |
| 13% | 39.2% | $1.34M | |
| 5% | — | $865.4K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Mary Peltola remains a major contender in Alaska’s Senate race, and turnout in the November general election could be decisive. Republicans are also pouring money into the race, while a watchdog complaint has added another layer of uncertainty around Dan J. Sullivan. The news keeps Alaska looking highly competitive and suggests outside spending could matter. The coordination complaint adds some uncertainty, but the overall effect on odds is mixed.
Alaska judges have ordered the Republican candidate to pay thousands of dollars for overdue business and personal debts.
President Donald Trump is headed to Oklahoma and Texas on Thursday as part of his midterm campaigning. See his 2018 record in the states.
President Trump is set to campaign in several red states ahead of the midterms, according to a report.
The senator cannot make her role as Donald Trump's enabler disappear
President Donald Trump announced plans Wednesday for South Korea to invest $54 billion in a liquefied natural gas project in Alaska.
A poll of nearly 3000 voters in Alaska, Ohio, Texas, Kansas and Iowa showed that, overall, Democrat candidates are gaining ground ahead of November's midterm elections.
Alaska Democrat Mary Peltola has been a driving force behind a taxpayer-funded "tolerance commission" in the state.
Veteran Action is backing Sen. Dan Sullvian (R-AK) in Alaska's senate race, praising him as a strong supporter for America’s veterans in an exclusive ad first obtained by Breitbart News.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Aug 2, 2026 and Oct 1, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
N. BegichNick BegichB. HillBill Hill
M. SchultzMatt SchultzSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
