Prediction Edge
Democrat
Matthew Montavon

Matthew Montavon

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Matthew Montavon is trading at 8% to win the FL-17 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCandidate for U.S. House (FL-17)

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

LocationFlorida

BackgroundCandidate for U.S. House (FL-17)

Show more

EducationThe Catholic University of America — B.A., Political Science and Spanish (honors)

Notable personal detailsMatthew Montavon is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 17th Congressional District (2026). He has worked in urban/regional planning and later spent roughly 27 years with the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization. He previously ran in the district’s Democratic primary and has been active in local Democratic organizations in the Sarasota area.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports expanding and funding government programs to lower costs for working families, strengthen Social Security and Medicare, expand access to affordable healthcare, and expand affordable housing; emphasizes protecting and increasing government support rather than prioritizing tax cuts. No explicit campaign pledge on raising taxes on wealthier individuals or corporations is stated in available materials.

Healthcare

Supports making healthcare more affordable and expanding access to healthcare for residents of Southwest Florida. Campaign materials list lowering healthcare costs and expanding access as priorities. Local Democratic materials likewise cite expanding access to healthcare as part of the candidate’s platform.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports immigration reform focused on limiting enforcement abuses and expanding legal pathways to status, including creating a comprehensive pathway to citizenship and reforming ICE/detention practices.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports that abortion decisions should be made between a woman and her healthcare provider, opposes government restrictions on abortion access, and will push for laws protecting a woman’s right to choose including voting Yes on Amendment 4.

Climate & Energy

Supports recognizing and addressing climate change impacts on Florida’s Gulf Coast, including rising sea levels, increased flooding, and warmer oceans; advocates for environmentally sensitive development and taking action to reduce harms. Positions emphasize climate mitigation and protection of coastal ecosystems without endorsing Green New Deal–style language.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports banning civilian use of assault weapons, requiring universal and comprehensive background checks, state licensing, and expanded/red flag gun-safety laws while preserving hunting and sport firearm purchases.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Matthew Montavon is being discussed in the context of the 2026 House race, where redistricting and fundraising trends are shaping the outlook for competitive districts. Recent coverage says Republicans could gain ground from redrawn maps, while Democrats have outraised GOP incumbents in many battleground races. The reports do not give many specific details about Montavon himself, so his current news appears tied more to the broader election landscape than to a major individual development.

fec.gov+40

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$96.5K
$72.4K
$48.2K
$24.1K
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$69.5K
$0.00
$69.1K
$3.3K

Cycle 2026

$96.5K
$23.9K
$72.6K
$3.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements