Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Republican or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Florida House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
FL-17 House winner?
$6.3K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 98% | $1.34M | |
| 5% | $96.5K |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$6.3K
24h volume
$108
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Florida 17th District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Republican or unratedDistrict context
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: W. Gregory Steube (R)
Election Rules
Primary Aug 18, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Frederica Wilson's retirement opens the Democratic side of Florida's 17th District race. Several possible contenders are already being discussed. Separate redistricting analysis says Florida could be part of a broader GOP boost in 2026. Wilson's retirement adds uncertainty and opens the seat to a new Democratic nominee. Broader redistricting coverage points to a slightly more favorable GOP environment, but the district-specific effect is unclear.
Articles
NYNew York Post13 hours ago
An hour-by-hour guide on how to watch
Tuesday will finally end months of speculation and reveal which party will control Congress for the next two years, setting the tone for President Trump's lame-duck years in the White House.
TGThe Gateway Pundit4 days ago
WATCH LIVE: President Trump Holds Midterm Rally in Daytona Beach, Florida - 7 PM ET
President Trump will hold one of his final midterm rallies in Daytona Beach, Florida, this evening for Gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds and Incumbent…
TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer2 months ago
Trump plans blitz of $138 million and counting to save midterm Republicans
A new super PAC that The New York Times previously reported was linked to MAGA Inc., No Going Back PAC Inc., has booked more than $95 million worth of ads.
FForbes5 months ago
Old Congresswoman Frederica Wilson—Absent For A Month—Will Retire
Wilson missed dozens of votes from April to May in a lengthy absence she attributed to eye surgery.
CNCBS News15 hours ago
Here's what the U.S. is voting on today for the 2026 midterm elections
All 435 seats in the House of Representatives are on the ballot, while voters in 35 states will choose senators and 36 will choose governors.
NNewsmax11 days ago
Rep. Steube to Newsmax: Florida's Future at Stake
Rep. Greg Steube, R-Fla., told Newsmax that President Donald Trump's visit to Fort Myers underscores the importance of the Nov. 3 midterm elections, warning that Republicans risk losing the governor's office and seeing policies enacted under Gov. Ron DeSantis reversed.
F9FOX 913 days ago
2026 midterm elections: 21 key House races to follow
Voters across the country will decide which party controls the House as a handful of closely watched races shape the 2026 midterm elections.
SLSalt Lake City Deseret News6 months ago
The midterm map war comes to Utah
How Utah’s redistricting fight echoes a nationwide battle over congressional representation
NNPR6 days ago
What House races are competitive in the 2026 midterm election? : NPR
An NPR analysis finds 70 House districts where Democrats and Republicans are each investing more than six figures in advertising during the final few days of the election, including in deep red areas.
NNewsweek7 months ago
Republicans Risk Losing 34 Seats Where Gas Prices Are Rising
Democrats consider dozens of seats "in play" this November, and aim to leverage the domestic fallout from Trump's war in Iran.
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jul 29, 2026$2.5M
$1.9M
$1.3M
$625K
$0
G. Steube
M. Montavon
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
G. SteubeGreg Steube$1.34MContrib: $1.06M
$2.08MSpent: $845.3K
$44.5KLast period: $52.4K
PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 29, 2026
M. MontavonMatthew Montavon$96.5KContrib: $63.5K
$23.9KSpent: $72.6K
$3.8KLast period: $5.8K
PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 29, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
FL-17 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-17?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 1:18 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for FL-17?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 1:18 AM UTC