Prediction Edge
Republican
Michael Whatley

Michael Whatley

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in North Carolina

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Michael Whatley is trading at 9% to win the North Carolina Senate winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

Age57 years old (Oct 1, 1968)

GenderMale

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LocationNorth Carolina

BackgroundAttorney

EducationUniversity of North Carolina at Charlotte (BA, History, 1991)

Notable personal detailsMichael David Whatley is an American lawyer and Republican Party official from North Carolina. He served as chair of the North Carolina Republican Party (2019–2024) and later chaired the Republican National Committee (2024–2025). He previously served as general counsel to the Republican National Committee and worked in energy policy and advocacy, including as an executive at Consumer Energy Alliance. In 2026, he became the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in North Carolina.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax cuts and lower taxes for workers and businesses, endorses former President Trump’s tax proposals, and favors reducing regulations to boost economic growth. Criticizes Democratic opponents for proposing tax increases and positions himself as prioritizing putting more money in taxpayers’ pockets.

Healthcare

Supports replacing the Affordable Care Act with market-driven solutions and has backed federal/state policy changes tied to reducing Medicaid funding; favors reducing government role and promoting market-based health reforms.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger enforcement of immigration laws, including funding for ICE and Border Patrol, and backing cooperation with federal immigration authorities to remove criminal undocumented immigrants. Criticizes opponents for vetoing or opposing measures that would require local law enforcement to honor ICE detainers and frames immigration as a public-safety issue.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Michael Whatley has celebrated the overturning of Roe v. Wade and has praised North Carolina’s restrictive abortion law; he led a state party that adopted platform language granting rights to unborn children and opposing destruction of human embryos. Public materials indicate support for policies that would significantly restrict abortion access and could back a nationwide ban.

Climate & Energy

Supports an "all of the above" energy approach emphasizing a mix of carbon (fossil fuels), nuclear, and renewables, and has a background defending lower energy prices and representing utility and oil interests. Emphasizes energy resilience and state/local management rather than aggressive federal emissions mandates.

Public Safety & Guns

Michael Whatley describes himself as a pro-Second Amendment candidate and is presented by major news accounts and his campaign announcement as supporting gun rights and opposing actions perceived as infringing on the Second Amendment. Public reporting about his Senate run and endorsements highlights his commitment to defend and “save” the Second Amendment and to be strong on stopping crime and supporting law enforcement.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 16, 2026

Michael Whatley is the Republican nominee in the closely watched North Carolina Senate race and has just released a new campaign ad. He is running against former Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper, with recent polls showing Whatley trailing and the race leaning Democratic. Whatley has been emphasizing public safety and the economy as he tries to close the gap, while also benefiting from Trump’s endorsement.

en.wikipedia.org+56

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Michael Whatley currently averages 40.2%, ranking second in this race, 8.7 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 40.2%Position: secondMargin: -8.7 ptsLatest poll: 45.0% (Aug 3 - 12)Polls included: 29

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 3 - 12.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
40.2%
48.9%
Michael Whatley
M. Whatley
Roy Cooper
R. Cooper
Date (Start - End)SpreadWhatleyCooper
Polling Average
Cooper+8.7
40.2%48.9%
High Point University Survey Research CenterAug 3 - 12
Cooper+5.0
45.0%50.0%
High Point University Survey Research CenterAug 3 - 12
Cooper+7.0
41.0%48.0%
Harper PollingAug 9 - 10
Cooper+12.5
39.0%51.5%
Change ResearchAug 3 - 6
Cooper+7.0
43.0%50.0%
Change ResearchJul 29 - Aug 1
Cooper+9.0
41.0%50.0%
Elon University/YouGovJul 23 - 31
Cooper+11.0
42.0%53.0%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchJul 23 - 27
Cooper+9.0
44.0%53.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 9 - 10
Cooper+4.0
44.0%48.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityJun 15 - 27
Cooper+7.0
43.0%50.0%
YouGovJun 1 - 10
Cooper+14.0
34.0%48.0%
Harper PollingMay 10 - 11
Cooper+11.1
38.7%49.8%
Change ResearchMay 4 - 8
Cooper+7.0
42.0%49.0%
Opinion DiagnosticsApr 21 - 24
Cooper+9.0
41.4%50.4%
High Point University Survey Research Center/YouGovMar 26 - Apr 6
Cooper+10.0
39.0%49.0%
High Point University Survey Research Center/YouGovMar 26 - Apr 6
Cooper+8.0
42.0%50.0%
Quantus InsightsMar 31 - Apr 1
Cooper+4.8
43.8%48.6%
Harper PollingMar 22 - 23
Cooper+7.8
41.1%48.9%
YouGovMar 9 - 18
Cooper+14.0
34.0%48.0%
Public Policy PollingMar 13 - 14
Cooper+3.0
44.0%47.0%
Nexus Strategies/Strategic Partners SolutionsMar 8 - 9
Cooper+17.7
32.3%50.0%
Change ResearchJan 31 - Feb 4
Cooper+10.0
40.0%50.0%
TIPP InsightsJan 12 - 15
Cooper+24.0
24.0%48.0%
Change ResearchJan 5 - 7
Cooper+5.0
42.0%47.0%
Harper PollingNov 9 - 10
Cooper+8.7
38.6%47.3%
Harper PollingSep 14 - 15
Cooper+4.2
41.9%46.1%
Change ResearchSep 2 - 8
Cooper+7.0
41.0%48.0%
Harper PollingAug 11 - 12
Cooper+8.2
39.1%47.3%
Emerson CollegeJul 28 - 30
Cooper+5.3
41.4%46.7%
Victory InsightsJul 28 - 30
Cooper+0.9
43.5%44.4%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$11.3M
$8.5M
$5.6M
$2.8M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$11.3M
$3.5M
$7.8M
$433.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements