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Who will win the 2026 North Carolina Senate Race?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 127 daysLast updated: Jul 3, 2026, 4:23 PM UTC

North Carolina Senate winner?

$274.1K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

87.0%

R. Party

14.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$274.1K

24h volume

$3.0K

D. Party87%

R. Party14%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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November

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North Carolina 2026 general election

News

AINews Summary

Recent polling has Democrats ahead in North Carolina, with Roy Cooper leading Michael Whatley in the latest battleground roundup. The seat is open after Thom Tillis said he will not run again, and Republicans are preparing major spending in the state. The polling and spending plans point to a competitive race that currently leans toward Democrats. The open-seat status and heavy outside spending keep uncertainty high.

Articles

TDThe Daily Beast2 days ago

Voter Backlash Revealed in Key States Trump Won in 2024

Democrats are in striking distance of Republican incumbents in a series of Senate races that will be crucial in the midterms.

NNewsweek2 days ago

Collins Leads Maine Senate Race, But Platner Ahead with Key Group: Poll

The race is expected to be one of the nation's most closely watched Senate contests.

TNThe New York Times2 days ago

Republicans’ Home-Field Edge for Senate Seems Just Enough for Now

Democratic candidates are generally popular, Times/Siena polling finds, but retaking the Senate remains a big challenge.

WEWashington Examiner2 days ago

GOP primed to flood midterm elections with cash after Supreme Court win

Groups like the NRSC can now offset the fundraising deficits of GOP candidates to their Democratic rivals in high-profile Senate races.

SSlate6 days ago

Republicans Have a New Supervillain in the Works

You’re going to be hearing a lot more about Darializa Avila Chevalier.

TNThe New York Times1 day ago

Republican Senate Candidates Start Their Own Super PACs to Gain Cash Advantage

Most of the party’s top candidates are starting their own super PACs instead of relying on a powerful group run by Washington leaders. The move allows them to seize control of their financial destinies.

TDThe Dallas Morning News1 month ago

Decision day in Senate GOP runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton

Decision day in Senate Republican runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, ending one of the state's nastiest campaigns.

SLSalt Lake City Deseret News3 months ago

Senate Leadership Fund makes biggest investment in history to defend GOP majority

The investment marks the largest spending plan for the Senate Leadership Fund as the party looks to defend its slim majority in the upper chamber.

NNewsweek11 days ago

Josh Turek Edges Out GOP’s Ashley Hinson in Internal Iowa Senate Poll

Democrats believe Iowa will be competitive in this year's midterm elections despite the state's increasingly conservative lean.

SSFGATE24 days ago

Tuesday takeaways: Platner's big night, Clyburn carries on and Trump's support gets mixed results

Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota hosted primary elections Tuesday, but much of the political world was focused on Maine’s high-stakes U.S. Senate contest. The results were never in question....

Polls

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

49.1%

39.6%

R. Cooper

M. Whatley

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Cooper	Whatley
Polling Average	Cooper+9.4	49.1%	39.6%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityJun 15 - 27	Cooper+7.0	50.0%	43.0%
YouGovJun 1 - 10	Cooper+14.0	48.0%	34.0%
Harper PollingMay 10 - 11	Cooper+11.1	49.8%	38.7%
Change ResearchMay 4 - 8	Cooper+7.0	49.0%	42.0%
Opinion DiagnosticsApr 21 - 24	Cooper+9.0	50.4%	41.4%
High Point University Survey Research Center/YouGovMar 26 - Apr 6	Cooper+10.0	49.0%	39.0%
High Point University Survey Research Center/YouGovMar 26 - Apr 6	Cooper+8.0	50.0%	42.0%
Quantus InsightsMar 31 - Apr 1	Cooper+4.8	48.6%	43.8%
Harper PollingMar 22 - 23	Cooper+7.8	48.9%	41.1%
YouGovMar 9 - 18	Cooper+14.0	48.0%	34.0%
Public Policy PollingMar 13 - 14	Cooper+3.0	47.0%	44.0%
Nexus Strategies/Strategic Partners SolutionsMar 8 - 9	Cooper+17.7	50.0%	32.3%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Who will win the 2026 North Carolina Senate Race?

North Carolina Senate winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

News

Voter Backlash Revealed in Key States Trump Won in 2024

Collins Leads Maine Senate Race, But Platner Ahead with Key Group: Poll

Republicans’ Home-Field Edge for Senate Seems Just Enough for Now

GOP primed to flood midterm elections with cash after Supreme Court win

Republicans Have a New Supervillain in the Works

Republican Senate Candidates Start Their Own Super PACs to Gain Cash Advantage

Decision day in Senate GOP runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton

Senate Leadership Fund makes biggest investment in history to defend GOP majority

Josh Turek Edges Out GOP’s Ashley Hinson in Internal Iowa Senate Poll

Tuesday takeaways: Platner's big night, Clyburn carries on and Trump's support gets mixed results

Polls

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Upcoming Events

News

Voter Backlash Revealed in Key States Trump Won in 2024

Collins Leads Maine Senate Race, But Platner Ahead with Key Group: Poll

Republicans’ Home-Field Edge for Senate Seems Just Enough for Now

GOP primed to flood midterm elections with cash after Supreme Court win

Republicans Have a New Supervillain in the Works

Republican Senate Candidates Start Their Own Super PACs to Gain Cash Advantage

Decision day in Senate GOP runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton

Senate Leadership Fund makes biggest investment in history to defend GOP majority

Josh Turek Edges Out GOP’s Ashley Hinson in Internal Iowa Senate Poll

Tuesday takeaways: Platner's big night, Clyburn carries on and Trump's support gets mixed results

Polls

Related races

NC-01 House winner?

NC-11 House winner?

North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

NC-02 House winner?