$1.4M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 12:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 50.1% | $34.98M | |
| 8% | 40.9% | $11.27M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Roy Cooper remains ahead in polling and nonpartisan forecasts for the open North Carolina Senate seat. A new ad is attacking him on taxes, and the Senate Leadership Fund says it will pour $71 million into the state. The race is still being treated as a major pickup chance for Democrats. The latest polling and forecast language likely keeps Cooper favored, though the new attack ad adds some noise. Heavy outside spending suggests the race should stay competitive and closely watched.
A new campaign video ad recently dropped for GOP Senate nominee in North Carolina, Michael Whatley.
Abdul El-Sayed made history this month in Michigan by becoming the first Muslim nominated by the Democratic Party to run for the US Senate.
Republicans maintain a narrow House majority, controlling 218 seats, while Democrats hold 212.
“While Roy Cooper continues to be much more familiar to voters than Michael Whatley, Whatley’s familiarity among voters has increased meaningfully between March and July," said Jason Husser, director of
Decision day in Senate Republican runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, ending one of the state's nastiest campaigns.
The investment marks the largest spending plan for the Senate Leadership Fund as the party looks to defend its slim majority in the upper chamber.
In today’s news briefing, read about a new BBQ restaurant, the city’s affordable housing project and a new endorsement for Dr. Annie Andrews.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 26, 2026 and Aug 10, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
R. CooperRoy CooperM. WhatleyMichael WhatleySource: FEC
