$2.5M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 8:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | 50.7% | $34.98M | |
| 5% | 40.8% | $11.27M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Roy Cooper leads Michael Whatley in a recent North Carolina poll, giving Democrats a clear headline advantage. Republicans are also pouring outside money into the race, including Trump-linked spending against Cooper. Whatley is facing fresh scrutiny over a rally prayer by a convicted sex offender. The poll and outside spending suggest Cooper remains in a stronger position, while GOP money could narrow the race. The scandal coverage may add pressure on Whatley, but the overall effect is still uncertain.
Senate Republicans’ top campaign spending organization is pulling back in purple North Carolina and pouring money into red Kansas. That striking shift shows how the party’s plan to keep its majority in November has turned into an increasingly defensive fight.
Republicans launched what a Democratic pollster called a "rescue mission" to save Sen. Roger Marshall (R-KS) in deep-red Kansas.The Senate Leadership Fund, the top super PAC for Senate Republicans, is pulling back from North Carolina's Senate race and putting seven figures into Kansas, Semafor first...
The Senate Leadership Fund, aligned with Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD), initially set aside $71 million to elevate North Carolina GOP nominee Michael Whatley — but is now cutting its losses after shelling out just $30 million.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Sep 4, 2026 and Sep 29, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
R. CooperRoy CooperM. WhatleyMichael WhatleySource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
