Minnesota Senate winner?
12hMichele Tafoya has raised $5,337,941.77 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Senate race.

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Minnesota
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Michele Tafoya is trading at 11% to win the Minnesota Senate winner? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleSports broadcaster
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age61 years old (Dec 17, 1964)
GenderFemale
LocationMinnesota
BackgroundSports broadcaster
EducationUniversity of California, Berkeley (B.A., mass communications)
Notable personal detailsMichele Joan Tafoya is an American reporter and former sports broadcaster known for her sideline reporting work across major networks including CBS, ESPN, and NBC. She earned a B.A. from the University of California, Berkeley and an M.B.A. from the University of Southern California. After leaving NBC following Super Bowl LVI in February 2022, she shifted into political and cultural commentary and later became a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Minnesota.
The candidate emphasizes protecting taxpayers, reducing burdens on businesses, lowering costs for families, and combating government fraud and waste. She supports policies to make businesses thrive by reducing taxes and regulation and says families are struggling with costs such as rent, mortgages, and energy.
The candidate has publicly criticized the Affordable Care Act as ineffective and has posted commentary opposing ACA policies and subsidies. Her campaign and public messaging emphasize rooting out Medicaid fraud and lowering costs rather than expanding government health programs. She has also described herself as a pro‑choice Republican on abortion policy.
Supports stronger immigration enforcement and federal law‑enforcement involvement in Minnesota; says she will deport dangerous criminals and stand with law enforcement in response to recent federal immigration operations. Her campaign launch video and statements emphasize public safety and backing federal agents during immigration enforcement actions.
The candidate identifies as a pro‑choice Republican who supports abortion access while indicating some limits on very late‑term abortion. She says abortion policy should largely be handled at the state level following Dobbs.
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Michele Tafoya has raised $5,337,941.77 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Senate race.
Michele Tafoya has won the Minnesota Republican Senate primary and will face Democratic Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan in the general election for the open U.S. Senate seat. She defeated a crowded GOP field and emerged with just over half the vote. Tafoya is now pitching herself as a candidate who can appeal beyond Republicans, including to moderates and some Democrats. Earlier coverage also noted strong fundraising and outside support for her campaign.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Michele Tafoya currently averages 42.6%, ranking second in this race, 5.4 points behind the next candidate.
Average recalculated from polls through Aug 13 - 17.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC