$1.2M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 2, 2026, 6:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 45.9% | — | |
| 12% | 42.7% | $5.34M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Minnesota’s Senate field is now set after Peggy Flanagan won the Democratic nomination and Michele Tafoya won the Republican nomination. Earlier coverage described the Democratic primary as close, with Angie Craig holding a fundraising edge before Flanagan prevailed. Flanagan’s primary win clarifies the Democratic side of the race, while Tafoya’s nomination sets the GOP field. The market may now focus more on the general election matchup, with limited new evidence on the likely winner.
President Donald Trump is expected to announce plans for South Korea to invest roughly $54B in a project to export natural gas from Alaska.
This follows a $15 billion Iowa steel plant as Trump uses his trade policy to help Republicans defending competitive midterm seats
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 8, 2025 and Sep 30, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. TafoyaMichele TafoyaSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
