$244.2K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 48.7% | — | |
| 11% | 43.2% | $5.34M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest development is that Maine Democrats are still scrambling to replace Graham Platner after he left the race. At the same time, Susan Collins is under sharper attack after a fatal ICE shooting in the state. The race now looks more unsettled, with Democrats trying to reset their campaign. The Maine race looks more uncertain after the Democratic nominee’s exit, which could weaken the party’s position for now. The Collins criticism may help Democrats politically, but the replacement process adds volatility.
Minnesota’s DFL Republican primaries for U.S. Senate and governor set the stage for what may be the most competitive statewide races for top offices in recent memory.
The heartland Democrat is making a comeback.
Peggy Flanagan won Minnesota’s DFL Senate primary over Angie Craig, while Michele Tafoya claimed the GOP nomination for the open seat.
Primary elections took place in six U.S. states on Tuesday, with the race to replace Minnesota Governor Tim Walz now set and another Progressive Democrat moving on to November's midterm elections.
President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.
Former sports broadcaster turned Republican political consultant Michele Tafoya has won the Republican nomination for Minnesota's U.S. Senate seat.
The welfare fraud scandal that rocked Minnesota's state government late last year will now be a central issue in the race for its open Senate seat, the top
It's the second time in just over a week that polls and prediction markets' odds were off, following a miss in the Democratic U.S. senate primary in Michigan.
Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary has become the latest test of the party's divide between moderates and progressives.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 8, 2025 and May 28, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. TafoyaMichele TafoyaSource: FEC
