

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 46.6% | — | |
| 10% | 42.2% | $5.34M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Peggy Flanagan won Minnesota’s Democratic Senate primary and will face Republican nominee Michele Tafoya in the general election. The open-seat race is now set after both parties picked their nominees. Recent polling had shown a tight Democratic primary, but the focus now shifts to November. Flanagan’s primary win clarifies the Democratic side of the race and may modestly strengthen the party’s position. Tafoya’s nomination sets the matchup, but the general-election outlook remains open.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 8, 2025 and Sep 2, 2026.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. TafoyaMichele TafoyaSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.