Prediction Edge
Independent
Mike Duggan

Mike Duggan

Independent candidate for Governor in Michigan

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Mike Duggan is trading at 1% to win the Michigan Governor winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer Mayor

PartyIndependent

Political ideologyCentrist Independent

Age68 years old (Jul 15, 1958)

GenderMale

Show more

LocationMichigan

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of Michigan (BA)

Notable personal detailsMichael Edward Duggan is an American lawyer and politician who served as the 75th mayor of Detroit from 2014 to 2026. He previously served as Wayne County prosecutor (2001–2004) and as deputy Wayne County executive (1987–2001). He was president and CEO of the Detroit Medical Center beginning in 2004. He left the Democratic Party in 2024 and became an independent.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Mike Duggan has proposed property tax reform that would reduce property taxes for most homeowners and many businesses while increasing taxes on vacant, blighted, or underused land and certain commercial parcels; he has used city budget surpluses to propose modest property tax cuts and framed the changes as promoting development and fiscal balance. His Land Value Tax plan shifts taxation from structures to land to incentivize productive use and hold land speculators accountable, while preserving a balanced municipal budget.

Healthcare

Mike Duggan has defended Medicaid work-requirements and described recent proposed Medicaid reductions as "not as bad as they look," while saying effective state implementation could mitigate harms. His campaign materials emphasize pragmatic governance but do not advocate for Medicare for All or large public-coverage expansions.

Show more

Immigration & Border

The candidate has described Detroit as a welcoming city and supported refugee resettlement and services for immigrants, while more recently stating that Detroit is not a sanctuary city and affirming cooperation with federal immigration enforcement. Public statements and reporting show both pro-immigrant local initiatives and explicit support for working with ICE, producing mixed signals on a clear policy direction for immigration enforcement or limits on federal action.

Climate & Energy

Supports transitioning Detroit to clean energy through city-led programs including large-scale solar installations to power municipal buildings, creation and staffing of an Office of Sustainability, and a published Detroit Climate Strategy prioritizing clean energy, efficiency, electrification, and resilience. Emphasizes investment in renewable projects, tree-planting and local resilience measures while pursuing market- and grant-enabled financing (e.g., citing federal IRA incentives) rather than explicitly calling for Green New Deal–style federal phase-outs of fossil fuels.

Public Safety & Guns

As mayor, Mike Duggan has emphasized strengthening policing, expanding technology (ShotSpotter, metal detectors, cameras) and hiring more officers to reduce gun violence while also backing community violence-intervention programs. He has expressed support for Michigan’s red-flag-style no-gun orders but said formal gun-free zones have limited effectiveness. Overall his actions combine support for strengthened law enforcement and targeted gun-safety measures rather than a single clear stance for broad new gun restrictions or for unfettered gun rights.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

Michigan Governor winner?

2d

Benson’s win sets the open Michigan governor race for a clearer fall matchup after AP and local reporting said she defeated Chris Swanson and advances to the Nov. 3 general election.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Mike Duggan has suspended and effectively ended his independent campaign for Michigan governor. He said weak polling, fundraising problems, and a polarized political climate left him with no realistic path to victory. His exit narrows the 2026 race back to a two-party contest and could help Democrats, especially Jocelyn Benson, while making Republicans’ path harder.

en.wikipedia.org+56

Latest Polls

Michigan Governor winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Mike Duggan currently averages 25.6%, ranking third in this race, 6.6 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 25.6%Position: thirdMargin: -6.6 ptsLatest poll: 13.0% (May 1 - 7)Polls included: 37

Average recalculated from polls through May 1 - 7.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
25.6%
34.8%
32.2%
Mike Duggan
M. Duggan
Jocelyn Benson
J. Benson
John James
J. James
Date (Start - End)SpreadDugganBensonJames
Polling Average
Benson+9.2
25.6%34.8%32.2%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
Benson+29.0
13.0%42.0%30.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
Benson+27.0
14.0%41.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
Benson+29.0
13.0%42.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1
Benson+11.2
23.0%34.2%29.2%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1
Benson+10.7
23.3%34.0%
Impact ResearchMar 23 - 29
Benson+20.0
20.0%40.0%36.0%
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovMar 2 - 24
Benson+11.0
19.0%30.0%23.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 9 - 16
Benson+19.0
20.0%39.0%36.0%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+1.2
30.1%28.0%28.9%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+1.5
29.8%27.8%28.3%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+22.1
53.4%31.3%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+27.8
57.6%29.8%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+21.9
53.6%31.7%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+27.7
57.2%29.5%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
James+7.7
26.1%32.2%33.8%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
Benson+1.0
33.3%34.3%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
Benson+2.8
31.4%34.2%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
Benson+3.3
31.7%35.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
James+19.0
18.0%31.0%37.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
Benson+10.0
22.0%32.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
Benson+14.0
19.0%33.0%
EPIC-MRANov 6 - 11
James+14.0
20.0%33.0%34.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
James+21.0
18.0%34.0%39.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
Benson+17.0
18.0%35.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
Benson+18.0
19.0%37.0%
Schoen Cooperman ResearchOct 9 - 14
Benson+4.0
26.0%30.0%29.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Benson+13.0
21.5%34.5%34.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Benson+10.4
25.0%35.4%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Benson+11.4
24.8%36.2%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
James+9.7
24.8%34.5%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Benson+10.8
24.2%35.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
James+10.1
24.8%34.9%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13
Benson+21.0
16.0%37.0%34.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13
Benson+22.0
16.0%38.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13
Benson+21.0
16.0%37.0%
Target InsyghtMar 3 - 6
Benson+21.0
21.0%42.0%30.0%
EPIC-MRAFeb 3 - 8
Benson+8.0
23.0%31.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Michigan Governor winner?

Endorsers of Mike Duggan for Michigan Governor winner?

Lansing Regional Chamber Political Action Committee

Elected official

The Lansing Regional Chamber PAC endorsed Mike Duggan for governor.

Learn more

More than 200 current and former elected officials

Former elected official

More than 200 current and former elected officials endorsed Mike Duggan for governor.

Learn more

Detroit Regional Chamber

Elected official

The Detroit Regional Chamber endorsed Mike Duggan’s independent run for governor.

Learn more

Detroit Regional Chamber Political Action Committee

Elected official

The Detroit Regional Chamber PAC endorsed Mike Duggan for Michigan governor in 2026.

Learn more

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising