Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Mike Flood

Mike Flood

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Nebraska

Live Odds — NE-01 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

82%chance to win

$26.4KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age51 years old (Feb 23, 1975)

GenderMale

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LocationNebraska

BackgroundAttorney

EducationB.A., University of Notre Dame (1997)

Notable personal detailsMichael John Flood is a Republican politician serving as the U.S. representative for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District, first elected in a June 28, 2022 special election. He previously served in the Nebraska Legislature and was Speaker of the Nebraska Legislature from 2007 to 2013. Flood is an attorney and business owner, and he has also worked in broadcasting.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Mike Flood supports lower taxes, extending the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, and further cutting taxes and regulations to encourage job growth. He also emphasizes reducing wasteful spending, backing free-market solutions, and making housing and everyday costs more affordable.

Healthcare

Mike Flood has publicly framed his healthcare agenda around expanding healthcare options and lowering premiums through Republican-led reforms. His recent votes include support for Medicaid work requirements and the broader One Big Beautiful Bill, which was central to GOP health and safety-net changes.

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Immigration & Border

Mike Flood supports stronger border enforcement and has described the border situation as a humanitarian and national security crisis. He has backed the Secure the Border Act and argued that tighter border control is needed to reduce drugs, crime, and unlawful crossings.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Mike Flood has supported abortion restrictions and has backed a near-total ban in Nebraska. He has also said he believes life begins at conception and has emphasized his role in passing a 20-week abortion ban.

Climate & Energy

Mike Flood’s public messaging emphasizes lower energy prices, energy abundance, and support for ethanol and fuel-choice legislation. His House office has highlighted work to grow American agriculture and energy, including backing year-round E-15 and related fuel policy.

Public Safety & Guns

Mike Flood has publicly aligned with gun-rights positions, including receiving an NRA endorsement and an A rating for support of Second Amendment freedoms. In Congress, he has cosponsored measures such as the Constitutional Concealed Carry Reciprocity Act and the Freedom from Unfair Gun Taxes Act, indicating opposition to additional gun restrictions and fees.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Mike Flood is in the news because Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District is shaping up as a competitive 2026 House race after Rep. Don Bacon said he will not seek re-election. The latest reports focus mostly on the Democratic primary, where John Cavanaugh and Denise Powell are the leading contenders, while Republican Brinker Harding has already secured the GOP nomination. The race has drawn heavy outside spending and is being watched closely because of its importance to Nebraska politics and the general election.

history.house.gov+47

Latest Polls

NE-01 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Mike Flood currently averages 43.5%, ranking first in this race, 2.8 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 43.5%Position: firstMargin: +2.8 ptsLatest poll: 45.0% (Aug 31 - Sep 3)Polls included: 6

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 31 - Sep 3.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43.5%
40.8%
27%
Mike Flood
M. Flood
Chris Backemeyer
C. Backemeyer
Austin Ahlman
A. Ahlman
Date (Start - End)SpreadFloodBackemeyerAhlman
Polling Average
Flood+2.8
43.5%40.8%27.0%
Global Strategy GroupAug 31 - Sep 3
Backemeyer+4.0
45.0%49.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 16 - 19
Flood+8.0
41.0%33.0%9.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 16 - 19
Flood+2.0
45.0%43.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 16 - 19
Flood+5.0
41.0%36.0%
Zenith ResearchMay 8 - 11
Flood+8.0
44.0%36.0%
Zenith ResearchMay 8 - 11
Flood+7.0
45.0%38.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.4M
$1.8M
$1.2M
$592.2K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.2M
$6.9K
$2.2M
$91.2K

Cycle 2024

$2.0M
$220.8K
$1.8M
$74.6K

Cycle 2026

$2.4M
$1.6M
$1.0M
$57.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements