Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
15.9%
46.8%
11.1%
Republican
Trump Endorsed
Trump Endorsed
$29.6K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Mike Lawler is trading at 37% to win the NY-17 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyModerate Republican
Age39 years old (Sep 9, 1986)
GenderMale
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LocationNew York
BackgroundU.S. Representative
EducationManhattan College (B.A., 2009; accounting and finance)
Notable personal detailsMichael Vincent Lawler is a Republican U.S. Representative for New York’s 17th Congressional District, first elected in 2022 and serving since January 3, 2023. He previously served in the New York State Assembly (97th District) and held local and party leadership roles including Deputy Supervisor of the Town of Orangetown and Executive Director of the New York Republican State Committee. He graduated from Manhattan College with degrees in accounting and finance.
SourcesShowHide
history.house.govlawler.house.govlawlerforcongress.comen.wikipedia.orgwikidata.orgnrcc.orgde.wikipedia.orgjunkipedia.orgprojects.propublica.orgdccc.orguschamber.comcongress.govruleoflawler.compolitico.comwusf.orgabcnews.go.comhighlandscurrent.orgwashingtonexaminer.com19thnews.orgrocklandreporter.comfoodandwateraction.orgclimatepower.usjustfacts.votesmart.orgnews.yahoo.comarmenianweekly.comcbsnews.comtwu106.orgnfib.comny1.comabc7ny.comproblemsolverscaucus.house.govdavidmckaywilson.substack.comwestfaironline.comnypost.comcityandstateny.comhrc.orgmilitary.comnewsweek.comnpr.orgthehill.comreuters.commonseyscoop.comlohud.comclerk.house.govlegislation.ballotpedia.orgsubstack.govtrack.usit.wikipedia.orgcha.house.govcdn.ballotpedia.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgbioguide.congress.govfec.govfr.wikipedia.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports lowering taxes for families and preserving/expanding elements of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act while backing targeted tax relief for middle- and working-class taxpayers (including restoring higher SALT deductions and expanding the child tax credit). Advocates tax cuts and regulatory relief as tools to reduce costs and improve affordability.
Healthcare
Mike Lawler has supported major Republican changes to federal health programs, voting for legislation that included large Medicaid spending reductions and criticizing the Affordable Care Act while endorsing GOP reforms. He has also said the ACA system is not working and pushed for reforms rather than preserving current subsidy structures unchanged.
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Immigration & Border
Supports stronger border security and enforcement as a first priority while also backing reforms to legal immigration that expand merit-based pathways (including H-1B visas) to address workforce needs. Has voted for enforcement-focused immigration measures in the House and publicly argues border security must be addressed before legal-immigration reform.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate states he is personally pro-life but supports legal exceptions for rape, incest, and when the mother’s life is at risk, opposes a federal abortion ban, and has described support for limits on abortion earlier in pregnancy (around 13 weeks). He has also emphasized protecting access to IVF and contraception and opposed restrictions on mifepristone.
Climate & Energy
Supports an “all-of-the-above” energy approach that includes expanded domestic fossil fuel production (notably natural gas) alongside renewables, and has backed legislation and votes that limit or roll back aggressive federal climate regulations while participating in bipartisan climate forums. Emphasizes energy affordability and reliability over mandatory rapid phase-outs of fossil fuels.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports Second Amendment rights and opposes broad federal assault-weapons bans while backing targeted measures to keep guns out of dangerous hands, such as red-flag laws with due process and bans on ghost/undetectable guns; has sponsored legislation to extend the Undetectable Firearms Act and emphasizes enforcement and prosecution of gun crimes.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 30, 2026
Mike Lawler is in the news mainly because he is running in a closely watched New York House race against Democrat Cait Conley. The district is considered a toss-up and could help decide control of the U.S. House, with Lawler reporting a large cash advantage but Democrats expected to spend heavily. He has also appeared with Donald Trump at New York political events, including rallies promoting Trump’s agenda and support for Lawler’s campaign. Lawler also commented on the Eric Swalwell misconduct allegations, saying they should be fully investigated.
history.house.gov+52
Articles
RDRochester Democrat and Chronicle1 month ago
Cait Conley and Mike Lawler battle in NY-17
Neutral
NNewsweek1 month ago
Cait Conley’s Chances of Beating Mike Lawler to Flip GOP-Held Seat in NY
Neutral
NYNew York Post25 days ago
NY Rep. Mike Lawler reaps nearly $5M as he faces tough Dem challenger in toss-up House race
Neutral
NNJ.com3 months ago
Trump rallies in competitive district near N.J.: ‘Terrible things are happening’
Positive
Latest Polls
New York Republican Governor nominee?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Mike Lawler currently averages 15.9%, ranking second in this race, 30.9 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 15.9%Position: secondMargin: -30.9 ptsLatest poll: 18.0% (Jun 23 - 26)Polls included: 7
Average recalculated from polls through Jun 23 - 26.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
New York Republican Governor nominee?
Endorsers of Mike Lawler for New York Republican Governor nominee?
TWU International and New York State Conference
Elected official
TWU International and the New York State Conference endorsed Mike Lawler for U.S. Representative.
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$8.4M
$6.3M
$4.2M
$2.1M
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$1.6M
$38.5K
$1.5M
$63.1K
Cycle 2024
$8.4M
$169.4K
$8.3M
$344.0K
Cycle 2026
$6.7M
$4.2M
$2.7M
$177.5K
Source: FEC