TX-15 House winner?
2dMonica De La Cruz's odds are now 34%, past the previous low of 48%.
34%14%
Republican
Incumbent
Incumbent
RepublicanIncumbent
Incumbent
$88.3K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Monica De La Cruz is trading at 38% to win the TX-15 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age51 years old (Nov 11, 1974)
GenderFemale
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LocationTexas
BackgroundU.S. Representative
EducationUniversity of Texas at San Antonio — B.B.A. (1997)
Notable personal detailsMonica De La Cruz is a U.S. Representative from Texas’s 15th congressional district, first elected in 2022 and serving since January 3, 2023. She previously worked as a business owner and insurance agent. She earned a B.B.A. from the University of Texas at San Antonio in 1997 and is from Brownsville, Texas.
SourcesShowHide
history.house.govfec.govcongress.goven.wikipedia.orgbioguideretro.congress.govdocquery.fec.govdelacruz.house.govloc.govarchives.govdiscover.library.unt.edulegilist.comes.wikipedia.orgmonica-delacruz.comcapitol.texas.govgovinfo.govde.wikipedia.orgnrcc.orgdocs.house.govfreshproduce.comclerk.house.govfr.wikipedia.orgit.wikipedia.orgreddit.commonicaforcongress.ustexasborderbusiness.comclubforgrowth.orgtexastribune.orglegistorm.comtexaspolitics.comksat.comsbaprolife.orgthedailybeast.comlcv.orgclimatepower.uscongressweb.comontheissues.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgaxios.comballotpedia.orgmaggieslist.orgwashingtonpost.comsanantonioreport.orgnytimes.comthetexan.newsfoxnews.comspectrumlocalnews.comdecisiondeskhq.substack.comgoogle.comprogresstexas.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgdata.ballotpedia.orglegislation.ballotpedia.orgcba.ballotpedia.orgcdn.ballotpedia.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports tax relief for small businesses and votes with House Republicans on tax-cut and pro-growth fiscal measures while emphasizing lower costs for families and limited government spending. Has backing from pro-small-business groups and a voting record aligned with Republican tax proposals.
Healthcare
Supports expanding access to care through targeted government programs and protections for existing public programs; has sponsored and co-sponsored bills to expand telehealth and improve Medicare services and has acted to protect Medicaid and nutrition benefits for constituents.
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Immigration & Border
Supports stronger border enforcement and measures to restrict asylum/immigration policies (e.g., ending catch-and-release, reinstating Migrant Protection Protocols, using expedited removal) while also sponsoring legislation to strengthen and fund Border Patrol and to create an expanded temporary agricultural worker visa program. Positions emphasize enforcement and border security paired with targeted legal pathways for farm labor needs.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate has a history of pro-life positions and endorsements and has supported abortion restrictions while saying there should be exceptions in “heartbreaking circumstances” and that the issue should be decided at the state level. Her campaign and affiliated groups have previously described her as pro-life and she has received endorsements from pro-life organizations.
Climate & Energy
Supports expanding fossil fuel development and has voted repeatedly against climate and environmental protections while opposing regulations that restrict oil, gas, and related infrastructure; favors market-based energy and energy development consistent with energy independence. Legislative votes and advocacy show opposition to many Biden-era climate actions and support for increased oil and gas activity.
Public Safety & Guns
Monica De La Cruz emphasizes defending the Second Amendment and opposes additional restrictions on gun ownership. She has said she will protect gun rights and has opposed gun-control measures such as expanded liability for gun manufacturers. Ratings from pro-gun organizations are high, and she reports opposing further gun restrictions.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 6, 2026
Monica De La Cruz is in the news because her Texas 15th Congressional District race is being described as highly competitive. Recent reports say Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido has drawn scrutiny over past social media posts and his former ties to a convicted sex offender, while both campaigns are pointing to polling that suggests a close contest. A leaked audio clip also showed De La Cruz telling supporters she was worried about her reelection prospects after seeing an internal poll.
history.house.gov+53
Articles
TDThe Daily Beast2 months ago
Leaked Audio Exposes MAGA Rep’s Poll Nightmare
Negative
KKABC-TV5 months ago
Latin Grammy winner Bobby Pulido wins Democratic primary for Texas' 15th Congressional District
Neutral
F4FOX 4 News3 days ago
Democrats set sights on open Texas border district in expansion of midterm targets
Neutral
UTUSA TODAY2 months ago
Bobby Pulido backs James Talarico, just not some of his past comments
Neutral
Latest Polls
TX-15 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
TX-15 House winner?
Endorsers of Monica De La Cruz for TX-15 House winner?
National Border Patrol Council
Public figure
National Border Patrol Council endorsed Monica De La Cruz.
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$7.9M
$6.0M
$4.0M
$2.0M
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$4.7M
$52.2K
$4.6M
$193.5K
Cycle 2024
$7.9M
$614.0K
$7.4M
$307.3K
Cycle 2026
$5.3M
$2.5M
$3.4M
$190.3K
Source: FEC