$2.3M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 5:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 48.2% | $2.96M | |
| 21% | 43.6% | $5.27M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
A new poll shows Democrat Bobby Pulido ahead in TX-15, making the race look more competitive. Republican nominee Brandon Herrera is also under scrutiny over past comments, while top GOP figures have backed him. Democrats are targeting the seat as part of a broader push in Texas. The poll and Herrera controversy could modestly improve Democratic sentiment in TX-15. But GOP endorsements and the small polling lead keep the race uncertain.
Bobby Pulido, the two-time Latin Grammy winner, is retiring from music as he tries to flip a Republican congressional district in South Texas.
With gas prices high and an unpopular war dragging on, President Trump’s approval has slipped with California Republicans, a poll shows
Not long ago, caravans of pickup trucks flying Trump flags rolled through the Rio Grande Valley. Those "Trump trains" are gone now – and so is much of the Hispanic support that helped Republicans make history in the region two years ago.In 2024, Hispanic voters in the valley gave the GOP majority su...
Republican-run states heeded President Donald Trump's call to redraw district lines to help maintain control of the U.S. House. But dissatisfaction with Trump, the economy and the war with Iran have complicated their efforts.
President Donald Trump is expected to announce plans for South Korea to invest roughly $54B in a project to export natural gas from Alaska.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Sep 10, 2025 and Sep 28, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. CruzMonica De La CruzB. PulidoBobby PulidoSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
