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Which Party wins the 2026 Texas District 15 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 126 daysLast updated: Jul 4, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC

TX-15 House winner?

$27.5K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

R. Party

52.0%

D. Party

49.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$27.5K

24h volume

R. Party52%

D. Party49%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

November

TUE 3

Texas 2026 general election

News

AINews Summary

Bobby Pulido remains the Democratic nominee in Texas’s 15th District and has joined a centrist Democratic effort aimed at moderating the party’s image. Recent reporting also said Rep. Monica De La Cruz is worried about reelection after an internal poll. Pulido’s campaign has also faced scrutiny over his past association with a convicted former bandmate. The race still appears competitive, which could modestly support Democrats if Pulido’s centrist positioning broadens his appeal. The scrutiny around Pulido adds some uncertainty and may limit any clear shift.

Articles

SSlate7 days ago

Republicans Have a New Supervillain in the Works

You’re going to be hearing a lot more about Darializa Avila Chevalier.

NNewsweek7 days ago

Democrats Launch Centrist Group as Trump Attacks Socialists, Communists

“We are capitalist, not socialist,” a group of 15 Democrats wrote after signing a pledge onto a new centrist initiative.

VVox.com8 days ago

Democrats’ real plan to control Congress again

New York’s insurgents are getting the headlines. But in swing districts, the establishment is getting its way.

KKABC-TV4 months ago

Latin Grammy winner Bobby Pulido wins Democratic primary for Texas' 15th Congressional District

Tejano singer Bobby Pulido will win the Democratic primary for Texas' 15th Congressional District, defeating emergency room physician Ada Cuellar.

HCHartford Courant16 days ago

Analysis: 11 House races move toward Democrats

WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...

BNBreitbart News Network21 days ago

Questions of Judgement Raised Over Texas Democrat Candidate's Ties to Former Bandmate Convicted of Child Sex Offense

In a shocking revelation that rocked the Texas 15th Congressional District race, Latin Grammy-winning singer turned Democrat candidate Bobby Pulido was caught on tape bragging about helping his longtime bandmate—a convicted child sex offender—get out of jail. While Pulido’s campaign attempts to dismiss the surfacing of his own words as a “desperate smear,” the audio confirms the candidate boasted about his efforts to bail out accordionist Frankie Caballero, a man later imprisoned for the sexual assault of an eight-year-old girl. | Border / Cartel Chronicles

TDThe Daily Beast25 days ago

Leaked Audio Exposes MAGA Rep’s Poll Nightmare

The lawmaker’s chances of re-election have been severely damaged after the maps were redrawn.

UTUSA TODAY1 month ago

Bobby Pulido backs James Talarico, just not some of his past comments

Bobby Pulido, a Democrat running in Texas' 15th Congressional District, said he supports Talarico, but not all his past comments.

TBThe Boston Globe1 month ago

Jim Crow 2.0 is working

For decades, Republicans have been trying to kneecap the Voting Rights Act.

WWTOP2 months ago

Editorial Roundup: United States

Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

41%

38%

M. Cruz

J. Pulido

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Cruz	Pulido
Polling Average	Cruz+3.0	41.0%	38.0%
Public Policy PollingSep 10 - 11	Cruz+3.0	41.0%	38.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party wins the 2026 Texas District 15 US House Election?

TX-15 House winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

News

Republicans Have a New Supervillain in the Works

Democrats Launch Centrist Group as Trump Attacks Socialists, Communists

Democrats’ real plan to control Congress again

Latin Grammy winner Bobby Pulido wins Democratic primary for Texas' 15th Congressional District

Analysis: 11 House races move toward Democrats

Questions of Judgement Raised Over Texas Democrat Candidate's Ties to Former Bandmate Convicted of Child Sex Offense

Leaked Audio Exposes MAGA Rep’s Poll Nightmare

Bobby Pulido backs James Talarico, just not some of his past comments

Jim Crow 2.0 is working

Editorial Roundup: United States

Polls

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Upcoming Events

News

Republicans Have a New Supervillain in the Works

Democrats Launch Centrist Group as Trump Attacks Socialists, Communists

Democrats’ real plan to control Congress again

Latin Grammy winner Bobby Pulido wins Democratic primary for Texas' 15th Congressional District

Analysis: 11 House races move toward Democrats

Questions of Judgement Raised Over Texas Democrat Candidate's Ties to Former Bandmate Convicted of Child Sex Offense

Leaked Audio Exposes MAGA Rep’s Poll Nightmare

Bobby Pulido backs James Talarico, just not some of his past comments

Jim Crow 2.0 is working

Editorial Roundup: United States

Polls

Related races

Texas Senate winner?

Texas Governor winner?

TX-07 House winner?

TX-23 House winner?