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Which Party wins the 2026 Texas District 15 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 172 daysLast updated: May 19, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC

TX-15 House winner?

$19.9K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

R. Party

58.0%

D. Party

44.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$19.9K

24h volume

$50

R. Party58%

D. Party44%

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source: Kalshi

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Latest Insights

Democratic Party

4%24H39%

That’s below the previous low of 43% for Democratic Party in "TX-15 House winner?"

10d

News

AINews Summary

Bobby Pulido has secured the Democratic nomination in Texas’s 15th District and will challenge Monica De La Cruz in the general election. The district is described as a Republican stronghold after redistricting. Pulido is also dealing with criticism over a report tied to a longtime bandmate’s sex offender status. The primary result keeps the race set up as a Republican-leaning hold. The controversy around Pulido could add some downside for Democrats, but the overall effect is still unclear.

Articles

WWTOP7 days ago

Editorial Roundup: United States

Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…

KKABC-TV3 months ago

Latin Grammy winner Bobby Pulido wins Democratic primary for Texas' 15th Congressional District

Tejano singer Bobby Pulido will win the Democratic primary for Texas' 15th Congressional District, defeating emergency room physician Ada Cuellar.

TTCPalm18 days ago

A closer look at five key areas affected by Florida redistricting

Five Florida U.S. House seats represented by Democrats show dramatic shifts to the GOP based on the 2024 presidential election results.

CNCBS News20 days ago

Supreme Court strikes down Louisiana congressional map, narrowing Voting Rights Act

The Supreme Court rule 6-3 in a decision that has implications for the scope of the landmark Voting Rights Act.

FNFox News1 month ago

Rep De La Cruz claims Bobby Pulido knew bandmate was a sex offender

Democratic congressional candidate Bobby Pulido faces scrutiny over a suggestive joke he made about bandmate Frankie Caballero, a registered sex offender convicted of child sex abuse.

UNU.S. News & World Report3 months ago

The First Midterm Primaries of 2026, by the Numbers

WASHINGTON (AP) — The first primaries of the year weren’t short on drama.

AOArkansas Online3 months ago

Texans Cornyn, Paxton set for GOP runoff in Senate race

Longtime Sen. John Cornyn and MAGA favorite Ken Paxton are heading to a May runoff in Texas' Republican Senate primary, setting up what's expected to be a nasty and expensive second round and a renewed push to win the endorsement of President Donald Trump.

BSBaltimore Sun3 months ago

GOP headed to runoff while Democrats are too early to call in pivotal Texas US Senate primaries

By THOMAS BEAUMONT DALLAS (AP) — Texas Republican Sen. John Cornyn is trying to hold on for a fifth term in Tuesday’s GOP primary, while Democrats will choose whether to send Rep. Jasmine Crockett or state Rep. James Talarico to a November general election where the party once again hopes it has a chance. Texas […]

ADAnchorage Daily News3 months ago

In Texas primary, GOP Sen. Cornyn tries to hold his seat while Democrats Crockett and Talarico face off for Senate

Republican Gov. Greg Abbott is running for reelection and faces a likely matchup with Democratic state Rep. Gina Hinojosa.

NVNorfolk Virginian-Pilot3 months ago

Texas GOP Sen. Cornyn tries to hold his seat while Democrats Crockett, Talarico face off for Senate

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

41%

38%

M. Cruz

J. Jr.

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Cruz	Jr.
Polling Average	Cruz+3.0	41.0%	38.0%
Public Policy PollingSep 10 - 11	Cruz+3.0	41.0%	38.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party wins the 2026 Texas District 15 US House Election?

TX-15 House winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Democratic Party

News

Editorial Roundup: United States

Latin Grammy winner Bobby Pulido wins Democratic primary for Texas' 15th Congressional District

A closer look at five key areas affected by Florida redistricting

Supreme Court strikes down Louisiana congressional map, narrowing Voting Rights Act

Rep De La Cruz claims Bobby Pulido knew bandmate was a sex offender

The First Midterm Primaries of 2026, by the Numbers

Texans Cornyn, Paxton set for GOP runoff in Senate race

GOP headed to runoff while Democrats are too early to call in pivotal Texas US Senate primaries

In Texas primary, GOP Sen. Cornyn tries to hold his seat while Democrats Crockett and Talarico face off for Senate

Texas GOP Sen. Cornyn tries to hold his seat while Democrats Crockett, Talarico face off for Senate

Polls

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Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Democratic Party

News

Editorial Roundup: United States

Latin Grammy winner Bobby Pulido wins Democratic primary for Texas' 15th Congressional District

A closer look at five key areas affected by Florida redistricting

Supreme Court strikes down Louisiana congressional map, narrowing Voting Rights Act

Rep De La Cruz claims Bobby Pulido knew bandmate was a sex offender

The First Midterm Primaries of 2026, by the Numbers

Texans Cornyn, Paxton set for GOP runoff in Senate race

GOP headed to runoff while Democrats are too early to call in pivotal Texas US Senate primaries

In Texas primary, GOP Sen. Cornyn tries to hold his seat while Democrats Crockett and Talarico face off for Senate

Texas GOP Sen. Cornyn tries to hold his seat while Democrats Crockett, Talarico face off for Senate

Polls

Related races

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

Texas Senate winner?

TX-33 Democratic nominee?

Texas Republican Attorney General nominee?