Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Monica De La Cruz

Monica De La Cruz

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds — TX-15 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

33%chance to win

$2.3MNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age51 years old (Nov 11, 1974)

GenderFemale

Show more

LocationTexas

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationUniversity of Texas at San Antonio — B.B.A. (1997)

Notable personal detailsMonica De La Cruz is a U.S. Representative from Texas’s 15th congressional district, first elected in 2022 and serving since January 3, 2023. She previously worked as a business owner and insurance agent. She earned a B.B.A. from the University of Texas at San Antonio in 1997 and is from Brownsville, Texas.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief for small businesses and votes with House Republicans on tax-cut and pro-growth fiscal measures while emphasizing lower costs for families and limited government spending. Has backing from pro-small-business groups and a voting record aligned with Republican tax proposals.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to care through targeted government programs and protections for existing public programs; has sponsored and co-sponsored bills to expand telehealth and improve Medicare services and has acted to protect Medicaid and nutrition benefits for constituents.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border enforcement and measures to restrict asylum/immigration policies (e.g., ending catch-and-release, reinstating Migrant Protection Protocols, using expedited removal) while also sponsoring legislation to strengthen and fund Border Patrol and to create an expanded temporary agricultural worker visa program. Positions emphasize enforcement and border security paired with targeted legal pathways for farm labor needs.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate has a history of pro-life positions and endorsements and has supported abortion restrictions while saying there should be exceptions in “heartbreaking circumstances” and that the issue should be decided at the state level. Her campaign and affiliated groups have previously described her as pro-life and she has received endorsements from pro-life organizations.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding fossil fuel development and has voted repeatedly against climate and environmental protections while opposing regulations that restrict oil, gas, and related infrastructure; favors market-based energy and energy development consistent with energy independence. Legislative votes and advocacy show opposition to many Biden-era climate actions and support for increased oil and gas activity.

Public Safety & Guns

Monica De La Cruz emphasizes defending the Second Amendment and opposes additional restrictions on gun ownership. She has said she will protect gun rights and has opposed gun-control measures such as expanded liability for gun manufacturers. Ratings from pro-gun organizations are high, and she reports opposing further gun restrictions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Monica De La Cruz is in the news because her Texas 15th District reelection race is being described as highly competitive. Recent reports say Democrat Bobby Pulido has drawn scrutiny over past social media posts and ties to a convicted sex offender, while De La Cruz was also heard in leaked audio saying she is worried about her prospects after seeing an internal poll. The district remains a key battleground as both sides frame it as one of the races to watch in 2026.

history.house.gov+56

Latest Polls

TX-15 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44.3%
Monica De La Cruz
M. Cruz
Date (Start - End)SpreadCruz
Polling Average
44.3%
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterJul 27 - 30
45.0%
Normington, Petts & AssociatesJul 23 - 27
45.0%
ApplecartMay 18 - 25
46.0%
Public Policy PollingSep 10 - 11
41.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$7.9M
$6.0M
$4.0M
$2.0M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$4.7M
$52.2K
$4.6M
$193.5K

Cycle 2024

$7.9M
$614.0K
$7.4M
$307.3K

Cycle 2026

$5.3M
$2.5M
$3.4M
$190.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements