Prediction Edge
Republican
Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

Republican candidate for Governor in Alaska

Live Odds — Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$611.2KNOV 3, 2027

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleLieutenant Governor

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age69 years old (Aug 13, 1957)

GenderFemale

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LocationAlaska

BackgroundPolitician

EducationSkyview High School (Smithfield, Utah) — graduated 1975

Notable personal detailsNancy Dahlstrom is an American politician who has served as Alaska’s 15th lieutenant governor since December 5, 2022. A Republican, she previously served in the Alaska House of Representatives (2003–2010) and later held executive-branch roles including senior military affairs advisor to the governor and commissioner of the Alaska Department of Corrections. She has been based in the Eagle River area and has worked in both public service and the private sector.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports fiscal responsibility, protecting the Permanent Fund Dividend, cutting waste, and tax cuts to allow Alaskans to keep more of their earnings while promoting resource development and job growth.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to health care, with emphasis on mental health and veterans’ health resources; has sponsored and cosponsored Medicaid-related legislation (e.g., restoring/reinstating Medicaid adult dental services).

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Immigration & Border

Nancy Dahlstrom supports closing the U.S. border, building/strengthening border barriers, tighter enforcement against undocumented immigrants, and deportation of those she describes as here illegally. She has said border closure and revamping the immigration system are top priorities.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Nancy Dahlstrom has aligned with pro‑life groups and spoken in favor of faith‑based, pro‑family positions on abortion; she has indicated support for parental involvement in minors’ abortion decisions. Her public comments and appearances link her to Republican efforts in Alaska to restrict abortion access while leaving policy debate to state-level action.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding Alaska energy production (oil, gas, LNG) and reducing barriers to development while promoting a diverse energy mix including micro‑nuclear and renewables to lower costs and ensure energy independence. Emphasizes speeding permitting and market-friendly reforms, backing responsible fossil‑fuel development as central to the state economy and energy security.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports the Second Amendment and defending law‑abiding Alaskans’ right to own and use firearms; emphasizes backing law enforcement, being tough on crime, and rejecting calls to defund police. Positions favor protecting gun rights while addressing public safety through law enforcement and corrections reforms.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Nancy Dahlstrom is in the news because she dropped out of Alaska’s crowded 2026 governor’s race ahead of the filing deadline. The race is moving toward the Aug. 18 primary, where the top four candidates will advance to the general election. She has also been tied to Alaska election policy, including state efforts on proof-of-citizenship voting rules and a recent clarification that Alaska keeps control over its own voter rolls.

ltgov.alaska.gov+41

Latest Polls

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Nancy Dahlstrom currently averages 16.4%, ranking second in this race, 5.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 16.4%Position: secondMargin: -5.5 ptsLatest poll: 6.0% (Oct 17 - 23)Polls included: 15

Average recalculated from polls through Oct 17 - 23.

Polling Average
25%20%15%10%5%0%
16.4%
21.8%
14.0%
13%
9.9%
7.6%
5%
Nancy Dahlstrom
N. Dahlstrom
Tom Begich
T. Begich
Bernadette Wilson
B. Wilson
Dave Bronson
D. Bronson
Click Bishop
C. Bishop
Shelley Hughes
S. Hughes
Adam Crum
A. Crum
Treg Taylor
T. Taylor
Edna DeVries
E. DeVries
Date (Start - End)SpreadDahlstromBegichWilsonBronsonBishopHughesCrumTaylorDeVries
Polling Average
Begich+5.5
16.4%21.8%14.0%13.0%9.9%7.6%5.0%3.3%2.5%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Wilson+4.0
6.0%10.0%9.0%3.0%5.0%5.0%3.0%2.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+6.0
7.0%12.0%13.0%4.0%6.0%5.0%3.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Wilson+6.0
7.0%13.0%13.0%5.0%8.0%5.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+6.0
8.0%13.0%14.0%9.0%6.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+8.0
8.0%13.0%16.0%10.0%
Alaska Survey ResearchOct 10 - 14
Begich+22.1
19.3%41.4%19.2%20.1%
Alaska Survey ResearchOct 10 - 14
Begich+13.6
30.1%43.7%26.2%
Alaska Survey ResearchOct 10 - 14
Begich+1.2
49.4%50.6%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+0.0
13.0%8.0%13.0%8.0%5.0%3.0%3.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Wilson+1.0
10.0%6.0%11.0%6.0%4.0%3.0%2.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Wilson+0.0
14.0%8.0%14.0%8.0%5.0%4.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+1.0
15.0%8.0%14.0%9.0%5.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+2.0
17.0%9.0%15.0%10.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+3.0
19.0%16.0%10.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+4.0
23.0%19.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2024

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$996.2K
$747.1K
$498.1K
$249.0K
$0

2024

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$996.2K
$205.8K
$790.4K
$32.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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