Prediction Edge
Republican
Nicholas Plumb

Nicholas Plumb

Overview

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports fiscal responsibility, reduced regulatory burdens for small businesses, cutting wasteful government programs, a zero-based budgeting approach, and a balanced budget amendment; emphasizes creating an environment where businesses can thrive and attract high-tech industries. These positions prioritize lower government spending and pro-business policies rather than increased taxes or wealth redistribution.

Immigration & Border

The candidate supports restricting employment- and education-based immigration pathways, including an immediate moratorium on new approvals across H-1B, H-4, L-1, F-1/OPT/STEM OPT, J-1, and O-1 categories and tighter limits on student visas and OPT. The platform calls for transparency reporting on visa entries/exits and a comprehensive review of the visa portfolio to prioritize American workers. The position emphasizes limiting legal immigration pathways for labor/education reasons rather than proposals focused on deportation or border militarization.

Show more

Climate & Energy

Supports energy independence using all domestic energy sources and prioritizes strengthening energy infrastructure and reliability within a limited-government, fiscal-responsibility platform. Emphasizes infrastructure reliability and public‑private approaches rather than aggressive federal climate mandates. No explicit support for major emissions targets or international climate agreements is stated on campaign materials reviewed.

Polls

TX-02 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47%
19%
Nicholas Plumb
N. Plumb
Dan Crenshaw
D. Crenshaw
Steve Toth
S. Toth
Martin Etwop
M. Etwop
Date (Start - End)SpreadPlumbCrenshawTothEtwop
Polling Average
Crenshaw+46.0
1.0%47.0%19.0%1.0%
Meeting Street InsightsOct 21 - 23
Crenshaw+46.0
1.0%47.0%19.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$9.2K
$6.9K
$4.6K
$2.3K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$9.2K
$1.2K
$8.0K
$536.62

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • News
  • Endorsements