Prediction Edge
Republican
Nicole Lee Ethington

Nicole Lee Ethington

Overview

Current roleRegistered nurse

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderFemale

LocationKentucky

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BackgroundRegistered nurse

EducationStudied criminal justice, homeland security & human services (no degree details publicly confirmed)

Notable personal detailsNicole Lee Ethington (also known as Niki Lee Ethington) is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. She has described herself as a registered nurse and a former probation and parole officer with the Kentucky Department of Corrections, and has said she studied criminal justice, homeland security, and human services. She has also been described as a wife and mother and as living on a family farm in Spencer County, Kentucky.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief and cutting/lowering taxes, prioritizes fiscal responsibility and reduced wasteful government spending, and backed a federal budget bill that she says eliminated taxes on tips, overtime pay, and Social Security. Advocates for policies to protect American workers while reducing tax burdens.

Healthcare

Supports making healthcare more affordable and accessible while opposing government mandates or overreach; emphasizes protections for healthcare workers (safe nurse–patient ratios, ending workplace violence) and prioritizes access for seniors and vulnerable populations. Positions focus on market-compatible accessibility and worker protections rather than endorsement of single-payer or large expansions of government-run coverage.

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Immigration & Border

Supports securing the border and stronger immigration laws prioritizing national security; emphasizes enforcement to stop fentanyl and human trafficking and frames immigration policy within an "America First" agenda. Advocates for strong border enforcement and law-and-order approaches rather than expanded legal pathways or asylum protections.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports the Second Amendment and the right of law-abiding citizens to responsibly own firearms with limited government interference; identifies as a gun owner and lists an NRA endorsement. Emphasizes law-and-order experience and public safety in policy priorities.

Polls

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
31%
19%
Nicole Lee Ethington
N. Ethington
Thomas Massie
T. Massie
Date (Start - End)SpreadEthingtonMassie
Polling Average
Ethington+12.0
31.0%19.0%
Kaplan StrategiesJun 23 - 24
Ethington+12.0
31.0%19.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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