Prediction Edge
Democrat
Nikki Gronli

Nikki Gronli

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in South Dakota

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Nikki Gronli is trading at 2% to win the SD-AL House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePolitical candidate

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationSouth Dakota

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BackgroundPolitical candidate

Notable personal detailsNicole “Nikki” Gronli is a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in South Dakota’s at-large congressional district. She previously served as South Dakota’s USDA Rural Development State Director after being appointed in 2022, and has held leadership roles within the South Dakota Democratic Party. She is based in the Sioux Falls/Dell Rapids area and has described herself publicly as a small business owner.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports policies to strengthen working- and middle-class families through targeted investments (e.g., education, rural infrastructure) and calls for fair tax policy while criticizing tariffs that raise costs for families. Emphasizes investing in public services and rural economic supports rather than reducing government role overall.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to health care, including improving rural and veteran access and investing in mental-health resources in South Dakota. Emphasizes expanding the healthcare marketplace and addressing gaps in services for rural communities and veterans.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate has publicly rebuked anti-immigrant rhetoric and defended asylum-seekers, expressing criticism of tough, exclusionary messaging by South Dakota leaders. Public reporting shows advocacy for civility and respect toward vulnerable immigrant communities but no detailed set of immigration policies is publicly documented.

Climate & Energy

Supports clean energy investments and programs that expand renewable energy and energy-efficiency in rural communities and frames those investments as helping lower costs, create jobs, and combat climate change.

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$261.8K
$196.3K
$130.9K
$65.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$261.8K
$111.0K
$150.8K
$8.4K

Source: FEC

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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