$5.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 3:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 96% | $1.44M | |
| 7% | $261.8K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
South Dakota Republicans are in their first-ever gubernatorial runoff after no candidate reached the primary threshold. Toby Doeden and Gov. Larry Rhoden advanced, while Dusty Johnson was eliminated. The winner will face Democrat Dan Ahlers in the general election. This does not directly change the House race, but it keeps South Dakota Republicans focused on a contested statewide primary. The broader GOP environment still appears strong for the party in the state.
The heartland Democrat is making a comeback.
Smith, who critiqued Erickson's campaign, said in his concession speech there could have been 'paths forward' to challenging a mayoral recount.
Once a long shot, South Dakota House Speaker Jon Hansen is now a top contender for the GOP governor nomination.
U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson has opened a wider lead in the South Dakota Republican governor race, according to new poll results.
If Democrats win a majority in the 2026 midterms, it will be due to a motley crew of military veterans, pastors, former Republicans, and independents.
Republican hopes of winning Senate races in Georgia and North Carolina have been fading, and the GOP is increasingly focused on playing defense elsewhere with five weeks until the midterm elections.
The GOP’s unusual midterm convention revealed a strategy to double down on an unpopular Trump — in order to spur his core voters to the polls.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Republicans appeared to have a firm grip on the Senate heading into the final two years of President Donald Trump’s term. But with less than t
Embattled GOP Rep. Max Miller is facing growing calls from Senate Republicans to resign or end his reelection bid – but has so far vowed to remain in the race as he denies abuse allegations from his ex-wife.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Aug 26, 2026 and Aug 30, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. JackleyMarty JackleyN. GronliNikki GronliSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
