Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
37.5%
53.5%
Democrat
Nikki Gronli
Democratic candidate for U.S. House in South Dakota
SD-AL Democratic nominee?
$30.5K
JUN 3, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Nikki Gronli is trading at 99% to win the SD-AL Democratic nominee? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current rolePolitical candidate
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyMainstream Democrat
GenderFemale
LocationSouth Dakota
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BackgroundPolitical candidate
Notable personal detailsNicole “Nikki” Gronli is a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in South Dakota’s at-large congressional district. She previously served as South Dakota’s USDA Rural Development State Director after being appointed in 2022, and has held leadership roles within the South Dakota Democratic Party. She is based in the Sioux Falls/Dell Rapids area and has described herself publicly as a small business owner.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govsdsos.govnikkigforsd.comsdpb.orgdakotanewsnow.comsddp.orgcom.all-url.infonikkiforcongress.comen.wikipedia.orgballotclarity.orglegislation.ballotpedia.orgdbpedia.orgopencampaign.comlinkedin.comdata.ballotpedia.orgwikizero.orgdocquery.fec.govs.bookplum.orgncfc.orgfr.wikipedia.orgdrgnews.comkotatv.cominforum.comnatlawreview.compresidency.ucsb.edusouthdakotasearchlight.comhervotehervoice.orgminnehahademocrats.comcdn4.creativecirclemedia.compolitifact.comkeloland.comsdstandardnow.comkelo.comvoz.uswashingtonexaminer.comaberdeeninsider.comnytimes.comfacebook.cominstagram.comgovinfo.govdisclosures-clerk.house.govballotready.orgsenate.govcongress.govbudzinski.house.govclerk.house.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports policies to strengthen working- and middle-class families through targeted investments (e.g., education, rural infrastructure) and calls for fair tax policy while criticizing tariffs that raise costs for families. Emphasizes investing in public services and rural economic supports rather than reducing government role overall.
Healthcare
Supports expanding access to health care, including improving rural and veteran access and investing in mental-health resources in South Dakota. Emphasizes expanding the healthcare marketplace and addressing gaps in services for rural communities and veterans.
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Immigration & Border
The candidate has publicly rebuked anti-immigrant rhetoric and defended asylum-seekers, expressing criticism of tough, exclusionary messaging by South Dakota leaders. Public reporting shows advocacy for civility and respect toward vulnerable immigrant communities but no detailed set of immigration policies is publicly documented.
Climate & Energy
Supports clean energy investments and programs that expand renewable energy and energy-efficiency in rural communities and frames those investments as helping lower costs, create jobs, and combat climate change.
Latest Polls
SD-AL House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Nikki Gronli currently averages 37.5%, ranking second in this race, 16.0 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 37.5%Position: secondMargin: -16.0 ptsLatest poll: 32.0% (Oct 12 - 14)Polls included: 2
Average recalculated from polls through Oct 12 - 14.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$261.8K
$196.3K
$130.9K
$65.4K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$261.8K
$111.0K
$150.8K
$8.4K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
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