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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
The selected contract has a verified final result.
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:11 AM UTC

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Oklahoma
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
2.5%chance to win
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleNurse
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyProgressive Democrat
GenderFemale
LocationOklahoma
BackgroundNurse
Notable personal detailsN'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate in Oklahoma in 2026. She is a nurse and has campaigned on healthcare access and other policy priorities outlined on her campaign website. She has been listed as a U.S. Senate candidate by the Oklahoma Democratic Party and has an active federal campaign committee registered with the FEC.
Supports expanding access to affordable healthcare, lowering prescription costs, expanding rural healthcare access, addressing the nursing shortage, and protecting women’s healthcare rights. Emphasizes practical reforms to improve access and support healthcare workers rather than endorsing single-payer proposals.
The candidate supports fair immigration policies and describes immigrants as part of Oklahoma’s communities, workforce, and economy. Her campaign platform lists support for immigrants alongside healthcare, education, and workers’ rights but does not provide detailed enforcement or pathway proposals on the campaign site.
Supports environmental protection through stronger water protections, holding polluters accountable, protecting tribal water sovereignty, and investments in rural water infrastructure; treats environmental protection as part of public health policy. No explicit endorsement of Green New Deal–level measures or fossil-fuel phase-out language is present on her campaign platform pages.
N'Kiyla Thomas is one of three Democrats competing for Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate nomination in the special election primary. The race is for the seat opened by Markwayne Mullin's move to the Department of Homeland Security, and a runoff is possible if no candidate wins a majority. The latest reports do not give many specific details about Thomas's campaign beyond her place in the field.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC
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