Prediction Edge

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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Oklahoma Senate winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • N’Kiyla Thomas

    Will Democratics win the Senate race in Oklahoma?

    Selected market

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:11 AM UTC

Democrat
N'Kiyla Thomas

N'Kiyla Thomas

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Oklahoma

Saved odds — Oklahoma Senate winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

2.5%chance to win

$102.6KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to affordable healthcare, lowering prescription costs, expanding rural healthcare access, addressing the nursing shortage, and protecting women’s healthcare rights. Emphasizes practical reforms to improve access and support healthcare workers rather than endorsing single-payer proposals.

Immigration & Border

The candidate supports fair immigration policies and describes immigrants as part of Oklahoma’s communities, workforce, and economy. Her campaign platform lists support for immigrants alongside healthcare, education, and workers’ rights but does not provide detailed enforcement or pathway proposals on the campaign site.

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Climate & Energy

Supports environmental protection through stronger water protections, holding polluters accountable, protecting tribal water sovereignty, and investments in rural water infrastructure; treats environmental protection as part of public health policy. No explicit endorsement of Green New Deal–level measures or fossil-fuel phase-out language is present on her campaign platform pages.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

N'Kiyla Thomas is one of three Democrats competing for Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate nomination in the special election primary. The race is for the seat opened by Markwayne Mullin's move to the Department of Homeland Security, and a runoff is possible if no candidate wins a majority. The latest reports do not give many specific details about Thomas's campaign beyond her place in the field.

fec.gov+54

Latest Polls

Oklahoma Senate winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
25%
49%
N'Kiyla Thomas
N. Thomas
Kevin Hern
K. Hern
Date (Start - End)SpreadThomasHern
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & AssociatesAug 3 - 6
Hern+24.0
25.0%49.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$57.2K
$42.9K
$28.6K
$14.3K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$57.2K
$455.95
$57.6K
$2.9K

Source: FEC

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • Endorsements