$5.4K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$5.4K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
Kevin Hern has secured the Republican Senate nomination in Oklahoma, avoiding a runoff. Democrats are still sorting out their nominee, with a runoff still possible. The special election will fill the remainder of the seat’s term. Hern’s nomination removes one source of uncertainty and likely strengthens the GOP position. The Democratic side is still unsettled, which keeps some uncertainty in the general election outlook.
Crypto PAC poured $12 million into Barry Moore’s Alabama Senate bid, and it worked: the Trump loyalist crushed former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson in the GOP primary runoff, setting him up as the likely nominee in November.
Trump threw his support behind State Representative Mark Tedford after thanking Lahmeyer for his "hard work."
Pastors for Trump founder Jackson Lahmeyer on Wednesday announced he was ending his bid for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, one day after he was projected to advance to a runoff for the Republican nomination in the wake of a texting scandal.
Follow live coverage of the G7 summit, Trump on Ukraine war and the Iran deal, Israel striking Lebanon.
We’re following the latest updates and analysis on the Donald Trump administration. Follow along live.
Rep. Kevin Hern won Oklahoma's Republican Senate primary outright Tuesday, securing the GOP nomination to succeed Markwayne Mullin and avoiding a runoff after capturing a commanding majority of the vote.
An endorsement from President Donald Trump is worth a lot in Republican primaries.
Trump may be as unpopular as he's ever been among the American electorate — but his grip on his core base of MAGA voters remains unshaken.
Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.
A temporary replacement for the outgoing Oklahoma Senator has been chosen, and the campaign for his seat is underway.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
