Prediction Edge
Republican
Owen McCarthy

Owen McCarthy

Republican candidate for Governor in Maine

Live Odds — Maine Republican Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$168.1KJUN 10, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleEngineer

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationMaine

BackgroundEngineer

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EducationB.S., Biological Engineering, University of Maine

Notable personal detailsOwen Zachery McCarthy is a Maine engineer and entrepreneur who ran as a Republican candidate for governor in 2026. He earned a bachelor’s degree in biological engineering from the University of Maine and an MBA from Harvard Business School. He has been involved with the University of Maine System as a trustee/board member and has worked in business roles including ventures in manufacturing/3D-printed electronics and a medical device company (MedRhythms).

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports cutting taxes and delivering tax relief for families and small businesses, reducing state spending, balancing the budget, and rolling back recent tax and fee increases while streamlining regulations to lower costs. He frames these policies as measures to restore affordability and respect for taxpayers.

Healthcare

The candidate’s policy plan emphasizes improving access and affordability of healthcare, expanding telemedicine, and stabilizing rural care and emergency services. The campaign frames these proposals as measures to make care more available and affordable for Mainers rather than advocating for wholesale privatization or repeal of existing programs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports cracking down on illegal immigration through cooperation with federal law enforcement and reducing strain on state resources; emphasizes enforcement and border control measures rather than expansive legalization or asylum protections.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate has made comments suggesting concern that Republican positions on abortion have cost elections and discussed the topic as politically consequential, but has not published a clear policy position on abortion access or specific restrictions. Public reporting about his campaign and campaign website do not provide a clear, detailed stance on abortion or reproductive-rights policy.

Climate & Energy

Supports lowering energy costs and upgrading Maine’s electric grid to attract investment and economic development, emphasizes cutting regulatory red tape and using private investment (e.g., data centers) to pay for grid upgrades, and frames energy policy primarily around affordability and reliability rather than aggressive emissions mandates. No campaign materials endorse Green New Deal–style targets or international climate agreements.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Owen McCarthy is running for the 2026 Maine Republican governor nomination and has been active in the crowded primary, including debates and a state party convention appearance. He has also been publicly endorsed in an opinion piece that praised his business background and his focus on jobs, permitting reform, healthcare access, and government efficiency. The race is still unsettled, with ranked-choice tabulation potentially delaying final primary results.

pressherald.com+45

Latest Polls

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Owen McCarthy currently averages 4.2%, ranking 7th in this race, 0.0 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 4.2%Position: 7thMargin: -0.0 ptsLatest poll: 7.0% (May 28 - Jun 3)Polls included: 6

Average recalculated from polls through May 28 - Jun 3.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
34.2%
23%
14.5%
9.7%
7.0%
Owen McCarthy
O. McCarthy
Robert Charles
R. Charles
Shawn Moody
S. Moody
Jonathan Bush
J. Bush
Garrett Mason
G. Mason
Ben Midgley
B. Midgley
David Jones
D. Jones
Robert Wessels
R. Wessels
James Libby
J. Libby
Date (Start - End)SpreadMcCarthyCharlesMoodyBushMasonMidgleyJonesWesselsLibby
Polling Average
Charles+30.0
4.2%34.2%23.0%14.5%9.7%7.0%4.2%3.2%1.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Charles+27.0
7.0%34.0%17.0%10.0%10.0%2.0%2.0%0.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Charles+33.0
9.0%42.0%23.0%13.0%13.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterMay 21 - 25
Charles+35.0
2.0%37.0%18.0%9.0%11.0%7.0%6.0%
Pan Atlantic ResearchMay 8 - 18
Charles+32.0
4.0%36.0%20.0%13.0%2.0%3.0%1.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16
Charles+27.0
1.0%28.0%5.0%12.0%6.0%7.0%4.0%2.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesAug 23 - 25
Charles+26.0
2.0%28.0%23.0%4.0%1.0%0.3%2.0%3.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising