PA-08 House winner?
2dPaige Cognetti's odds are now 79%, above the previous high of 65%.
79%14%
Democrat
Paige Cognetti
Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Pennsylvania
Democrat
$19.7K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds — PA-08 House winner?
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
79%chance to win
$19.7KNOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleMayor
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyModerate Democrat
GenderFemale
LocationPennsylvania
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BackgroundMayor of Scranton, Pennsylvania
EducationHarvard Business School (MBA)
Notable personal detailsPaige Gebhardt Cognetti is an American politician serving as Mayor of Scranton, Pennsylvania (sworn in January 6, 2020) and a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District. Before becoming mayor, she worked in public oversight roles including advising the Pennsylvania Auditor General and served as a senior advisor in the Obama administration at the U.S. Department of the Treasury. She earned an MBA from Harvard Business School and a BA from the University of Oregon’s Clark Honors College.
SourcesShowHide
scrantonpa.govfec.govelectpaigecognetti.comhonors.uoregon.eduapnews.comen.wikipedia.orgoppintell.comwaynecountypa.govdocquery.fec.govmonroecountypa.govballotready.orginsideelections.combluevoterguide.orgrepmyblock.orgpaigeforpa.comonyourballot.vote411.orgyahoo.commedium.comluzernecounty.orgyoutube.compaigeforscranton.comwvia.orgguides.votereproductivefreedomforall.orgfeministmajoritypac.orgpa.govgiffords.orgeverytown.orgd1h4zokikhjm0v.cloudfront.netnrcc.orgncpssm.orgriverreporter.combuckscountybeacon.cominstagram.comwnep.comtimesleader.comemilyslist.orgfacebook.comgoogle.comnews.ballotpedia.orgthetimes-tribune.comwikidata.orgdisclosures-clerk.house.govdemocrats-transportation.house.govlegislation.ballotpedia.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Paige Cognetti frames her economic message around protecting working families, strengthening unions, and making large corporations and wealthy individuals pay their fair share. She opposes tax breaks for big corporations, supports more public investment, and emphasizes fiscal accountability and reducing costs for residents and small businesses.
Healthcare
Paige Cognetti has publicly emphasized preserving and expanding access to quality healthcare, especially by keeping local hospitals open and maintaining timely, specialized care in Scranton and Northeastern Pennsylvania. Her public messaging also highlights support for strong healthcare benefits for families and healthcare access as part of her pro-worker agenda.
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Immigration & Border
Paige Cognetti has publicly pushed back on fear-based immigration messaging and said local police are not an arm of ICE. Her documented remarks emphasize keeping day-to-day city operations focused on Scranton while reviewing changing federal immigration rules, but they do not spell out a clear border or immigration policy agenda.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Paige Cognetti supports abortion being legal and safe, and has said leaders should protect a woman’s right to choose. Her campaign has also been endorsed by reproductive-rights organizations that support abortion rights and access.
Climate & Energy
Cognetti has supported climate-mitigation and clean-transportation initiatives, including Scranton’s electric vehicle fleet and charging infrastructure. She has also described a need to address climate change through environmentally friendly investments while emphasizing energy security and job opportunities.
Public Safety & Guns
Paige Cognetti has supported gun violence prevention policies and public safety initiatives, including a community violence intervention program in Scranton. Her documented position includes backing universal background checks and stronger safe-storage measures while saying gun owners’ rights should be respected.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 11, 2026
Paige Cognetti is in the news because she is emerging as a competitive Democrat in Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District. A recent poll showed her narrowly ahead of Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan, 47% to 45%, in a race expected to be one of the key battlegrounds of the 2026 midterms. The district is drawing heavy attention from both parties, with major campaign spending and outside involvement expected.
scrantonpa.gov+45
Articles
TDThe Daily Beast2 months ago
Trump Hit With Ominous Midterm Warnings in Deep Red Areas
Positive
NNNBC News3 months ago
Four swing House races in Pennsylvania loom large for both parties - and for 2028, too
Neutral
TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer8 days ago
How Josh Shapiro's early embrace of data centers is testing his high popularity in Pa.
Neutral
Endorsements
12PA-08 House winner?
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$4.6M
$3.5M
$2.3M
$1.2M
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$4.6M
$3.4M
$1.2M
$66.8K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Polls